NBA Betting Pick on Golden State at Oklahoma City Game 4

Posted by Ryan Knuppel on May 23, 2016 in

As of this writing, there has been no word from the NBA on whether Warriors star forward Draymond Green will be suspended for Tuesday night’s Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals at Oklahoma City, but it’s thought that he will be after kicking Thunder center Steven Adams in the man zone during Game 3. Green says it was unintentional but it’s the second this series he has done it and the league probably sits him down for Tuesday. That would be a huge loss for the Warriors, who trail the series 2-1. But they are slight online betting favorites for Game 4.

An In Depth Preview on the NBA Betting Pick on Golden State at Oklahoma City Game 4 & TV Info

When: Tuesday, May 24, 9 PM ET
Where: Chesapeake Energy Arena, Oklahoma City
Radio: Golden State / Oklahoma City
NBA Odds: Warriors -1 (221.5)

Warriors at Thunder Historic Betting Trends

Green is probably the Warriors’ second most important player after NBA MVP Steph Curry because Green can guard so many positions and acts often as a point forward in that up-tempo Warriors offense. Green was called for a Flagrant 1 foul on Adams and all of those are reviewed by the NBA.

“Honestly, I think it’s intentional,” said Thunder point guard Russell Westbrook of Green’s kick. “That’s two times in the last two games. I don’t think you can keep kicking somebody in their private areas. But he probably said he didn’t do it on purpose, but I think the way I look at it, it looks intentional to me.”

Adams said he’s going to consider wearing some protective gear in Game 4 “due to the consistency of the hits.” The incident occurred with the Warriors very much in the game, trailing 48-40 (it had been 40-40 minutes earlier), and afterward the Thunder absolutely crushed the Warriors.

That the Thunder won Game 3 isn’t all that shocking but that they did it in a 133-105 blowout sure was, especially after the Warriors routed OKC 118-91 in Game 2. Going back to 1984, it tied for the 14th-worst defeat of a conference No. 1 seed in the playoffs. Both opponents being equal, the team that wins at home in a 1-1 series goes on to win the series more than 69 percent of the time.

Kevin Durant scored 33 points and Westbrook had 30 points, 12 assists and eight rebounds. The Warriors, who set an NBA record with 73 victories in the regular season, trailed by 41 points, their largest deficit this season. Durant made 10 of 15 shots and Westbrook was 10 of 19. It was the first time this postseason both players shot better than 50 percent from the field. Serge Ibaka added 14 points and eight rebounds for the Thunder, who matched a franchise record for most points scored in a playoff game.

The Thunder have won their last four playoff series after the series was tied 1-1 through the first two games. OKC defeated the Mavericks and Spurs earlier this postseason after both those series began 1-1. Overall, the Thunder are 5-3 in postseason series after splitting the first two games of the series.

Curry had 24 points on 7-for-17 shooting in the Game 3 loss. Klay Thompson added 18 points on 8-for-19 shooting. Green had a lousy game all around as he finished with six points on 1-for-9 shooting. The Warriors were outscored by 43 points when he was in the game. After Green was whistled for the flagrant foul and Adams hit two free throws, the Thunder responded with a 24-5 run to close out the first half with a 72-47 lead.

Trailing 2-1 in a playoff series is nothing new for the Warriors. They were down 2-1 like last May against Memphis in the conference semifinals and last June against Cleveland in the NBA Finals. The Warriors roared back to win the next three games in both of those series. But Oklahoma City is more potent than last year’s Grizzlies or injury-depleted Cavaliers.

The Warriors need to rediscover their defense if they want to get back into the series. They allowed OKC to shoot 61 percent in the first three quarters of Game 1, after which they trailed by the stunning score of 117-80.

Expert Betting Prediction

Assuming Green doesn’t play, go with Golden State in online betting picks.