Pistons vs Heat NBA Betting Odds, Game Prediction & Pick

Written by on March 13, 2019

Detroit heads to Miami to take on the Heat in what could be a more important game than many realize. The Pistons are seventh in the Eastern Conference Standings while the Heat are eighth. The goal’s for both teams to make the playoffs, which means any time they can beat one another, it’s important each team takes advantage. Will Detroit prevail as the road dog or will Miami take it?

Pistons vs Heat NBA Betting Odds, Game Prediction & Pick

  • When: Wednesday, March 13 at 7:30 pm ET
  • Where: American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL
  • TV: FSDT
  • Radio: Detroit / Miami
  • Live Stream: NBA League Pass
  • ATS Odds: Miami -1 ½
  • Over/Under Total Odds: 210

Why Detroit Pistons are a good bet +1 ½?

The Detroit Pistons have recently stepped it up, going 8-2 on the moneyline in their last 10. Among the wins were against Minnesota, Toronto in overtime, and over Indiana.

Another victory happened against Miami. As a 3.5 dog on Feb. 23, Detroit dominated Miami 119-96. The Pistons are the better team. They have no injuries to report and could beat Miami again on March 13.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 107.7
  • Field Goal %: 44.2
  • 3-Point %: 34.9
  • Free Throw %: 74.1
  • Rebounds/G: 45.3
Defense:
  • Points/G: 107.8
  • Field Goal %: 46.9
  • 3-Point %: 34.1
  • Free Throw %: 75.1
  • Rebounds/G: 43.5

Why Miami Heat are a good bet -1 ½?

Are the Heat a safe bet in the NBA odds?

While the Miami Heat did badly lose to the Pistons the last time they faced them, the Heat have a chance to bounce back on Wednesday. Miami lost 104-120 to Toronto in their last. Before that, they had played great, winning 4 in a row and 5 out of 6.

The Heat even beat Golden State on Feb. 27, 126-125. Miami’s good enough to exact revenge over the Pistons at home. They should easily cover the short spread.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 106
  • Field Goal %: 45.3
  • 3-Point %: 35.5
  • Free Throw %: 69
  • Rebounds/G: 46.1
Defense:
  • Points/G: 106.5
  • Field Goal %: 44.6
  • 3-Point %: 36.5
  • Free Throw %: 76.7
  • Rebounds/G: 43.2

NBA Betting Trends for Pistons vs Heat

  • Detroit is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Detroit is 5-1 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went OVER in 10 of Detroit’s last 13 games
  • Miami is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games
  • Miami is 4-1 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 7 of Miami’s last 9 games

Pistons vs Heat Final NBA Betting Analysis

While the Heat have a great overall record against the spread, going 35-30, they’ve been terrible ATS at home. Miami is only 14-20 ATS at home. Not only that, they lost straight up to both Detroit and Phoenix at home in late February and only beat Atlanta by a point in a home game.

On the plus side, the Heat do bounce back after tough against the spread losses. The problem here is that Detroit’s playing better overall and has an advantage in the frontcourt with both Andre Drummond and Blake Griffin playing well.

The game on Wednesday should be ugly. At the end, the Pistons prevail.

NBA Betting Pick: Detroit Pistons +1 ½