With Day 2 of the NBA restart campaign set to get underway on Friday night, it’s time to find out whether James Harden and the Houston Rockets or Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks are the better pick when they square off in their showdown of Western Conference title hopefuls. With both teams entering this matchup sitting on an identical 40 victories, let’s find out where the best betting value lies in this intriguing affair, along with their NBA odds.
NBA Betting – Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds & Picks
Houston Rockets (40-24) vs. Dallas Mavericks (40-27)
Why Bet On Houston
When we last saw James Harden and the Rockets, they had just snapped a four-game losing streak by beating Minnesota 117-111 in their last regular season contest. Prior to that, Russell Westbrook and company had won six straight and 10 of 12. Houston’s small ball lineup is seriously potent in ranking second in scoring (118.1 ppg). Unfortunately, the Rockets aren’t very good defensively in allowing 114.4 points per contest defensively (22nd). Harden averages a team and league-high 34.4 points per contest and Westbrook puts up 27.5 points per game, but Houston also has five other players averaging at least 10.2 points per contest.
- The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- The Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Why Bet On Dallas
When we last saw Dallas, the Mavs snapped a modest two-game slide by completely overwhelming Denver 113-97 at home. Dallas went 6-4 over their last 10 regular season contests and ranks third in scoring (116.4 ppg) and 15th in points allowed (110.3 ppg). The Mavericks are led by all-star forward Luka Doncic who averages a team-high 28.7 points per game while adding 9.3 rebounds and 8.7 assist per night. Center Kristaps Porzingis is putting up 19.2 points per game while Tim Hardaway Jr. (15.8 ppg) and Seth Curry (12.6 ppg) also average double figures in scoring.
- Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Mavericks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Expert Analysis and Predictions
Houston is in sixth place out west while Dallas is one spot behind. The Rockets have an elite offense, but the Mavericks do as well. While Houston has been pretty abysmal on defense, Dallas has been far more solid at that end of the floor. The Mavs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing on at least two days’ rest and a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings against Houston.
- When: Friday, July 31, 2020 at 8:00 PM ET
- Where: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
- Rockets Vs Mavericks Live: ESPN
- NBA Odds: Pk
- Total: 228.5
These two rivals split a pair of regular season meeting with both matchups coming in Houston, but the Rockets have failed to cover the chalk in each of their last six regular season contests while the Under has gone a consistent 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings. I know James Harden and Russell Westbrook have a bunch of postseason experience and this eight-game bubble stint feels like a playoff setting, but I’m going with the Mavs to get it done in this one simply because they have the better defense and Porzingis should be able to have his way down low. Dallas gets the super narrow win to kick off its restart campaign.
- Pick: Dallas 111 Houston 107