Kevin Durant and the Golden State Warriors will look to avoid a huge upset in Game 1 of their Western Conference Finals matchup against Kawhi Leonard and the San Antonio Spurs.
The Dubs will likely be on ‘high alert’ after witnessing the Spurs put on an absolutely jaw-dropping performance in dispatching James Harden and the Houston Rockets in Game 6 of their conference semifinal series on Thursday night. Now, let’s find out if the Dubs can get the win and ATS cover in Game 1 of the Western Conference finals on Sunday, May 14.
In Depth Analysis On The Spurs Vs Warriors Game 1 NBA Betting Odds & TV Info
When: Sunday, May 14 at 3:30 PM ET
Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, CA
TV: ABC, SPORTSNET ONE
Radio: WOAI 1200AM, 740 AM
Live Stream: Watch NBA
NBA Odds: Golden State -10 / Total: 211
Why Bet the San Antonio Spurs Odds at +10
The Spurs (69-25 SU, 48-44-2 ATS) look like they’re offering great value in Game 1 not because they dispatched James Harden and the Houston Rockets in six games in the semifinal round, but because of how they dispatched their Southwest division rivals.
You see, even without starting point guard Tony Parker and superstar leader Kawhi Leonard, San Antonio pummeled Houston in Thursday night’s 114-75 closeout win in Game 6 as LaMarcus Aldridge pumped in a game-high 34 points and 12 rebounds and the Spurs limited Harden to a pitiful 10 points on 2 of 11 shooting from the field.
The Spurs shot a blistering 53.1 percent in the win and got double-digit scoring from five other players in addition to Aldridge, including 18 point from Jonathon Simmons. More importantly, San Antonio limited a Houston team that put up over 115.0 point per game in the regular season, to just 75 points.
“Everybody picked it up,” Popovich said. “Four, five, six guys all had good games. It wasn’t one guy scoring 40 or anything like that.
“Everybody contributed. It was a real team effort with (32) assists and just (seven) turnovers. They played well at the offensive ends with a lot of sets, and at the defensive end it was one of our best nights as far as scrambling around trying to keep up with these guys.”
Why Bet the Golden State Warriors Odds at -10
The Warriors (75-15 SU, 45-42-3 ATS) are looking good heading into Game 1 seeing a how they swept both, the Portland Trail Blazers and Utah Jazz in their two series this postseason.
Golden State finished off the Jazz with an emphatic 121-95 win in Game 4 on Monday as Steph Curry scored a team-high 30 points while Klay Thompson added 21. The Warriors have scored at least 110 point in six of their eight playoff games this postseason while limiting the opposition to less than 100 points four times.
“We are mostly impressed with how we are playing our brand of basketball,” Draymond Green told reporters. “We really imposed our will on the other team. That’s big. In the playoffs, you let a team get in a groove and it’s hard to win games like that.
“We have imposed our will all eight games. That’s important on the offensive and defensive end, and if you can do that, with the talent that we have, with the experience that we have, it will be tough to beat us.”
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
While I have no doubt that Golden State will win Game 1 to avoid the upset loss at home, I’m not real fond of the Dubs covering the spread a double-digit home faves which is why I’m going to advise you to go along with the 63 percent of public bettor that like the Spurs to cover the spread. Despite their on-court excellence, the Warriors are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record and a surprising 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on three or more days rest.
Conversely, the Spurs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Conference Finals games and a robust 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. I like the Warriors to get the win, but the Spurs to get the narrow ATS cover.