How to Bet Spurs vs Mavericks NBA Spread & Expert Pick.

How to Bet Spurs vs Mavericks NBA Spread & Expert Pick

Written by on March 12, 2019

The Dallas Mavericks are just playing out the string on this season, while the San Antonio Spurs are trying to lock down one of the West’s final playoff spots. The state rivals clash in Dallas on Tuesday night, their last meeting there this season. The Spurs will be NBA lines favorites.

Spurs vs Mavericks NBA Spread & Expert Pick

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Season Series

Spurs lead 2-0, having won both games by five-or-fewer points (the Spurs recorded a 113-108 overtime win over the Mavericks at home on 10/29/18 and a 105-101 victory over Dallas on the road on 1/16/19). Stellar Mavs rookie Luka Doncic is averaging a team-high 28.0 points (.538 FG%, .467 3FG%, .875 FT%), 8.0 rebounds, a team-best 6.0 assists, 1.0 steal and 38.0 minutes for Dallas vs. San Antonio.

Ten of the last 11 regular-season meetings between the Mavericks and Spurs have been decided by seven points or less. San Antonio has gone 9-2 in those 11 games. The Spurs have won three straight, 13 of the last 15, and 27 of the last 33 regular-season meetings.

Why Bet on San Antonio?

The Spurs are simply a different team at home and that showed in their fifth straight win Sunday, 121-114 over NBA-best Milwaukee. The Spurs rallied from down 15 early and the winning streak matches their longest of the season. San Antonio has owned its past eight at home, and that run also includes wins over Denver and Oklahoma City, and the Spurs have now beaten the top three teams in the East at home after topping Philadelphia in December and Toronto in January.

LaMarcus Aldridge scored a game-high 29 points, hitting 14-of-26 shots with 15 rebounds, two assists, two steals, and two blocks. Aldridge now has more career rebounds than Oscar Robinson. DeMar DeRozan chipped in 28 points.

Marco Belinelli played 30 minutes, scoring 16 points on 6-of-14 shooting with four 3-pointers, three rebounds, two assists, and one steal. Rudy Gay (illness) was out of commission, opening up an extra run for Belinelli and Davis Bertans (five points, four boards, three assists in 27 minutes).

Jakob Poeltl (hamstring) returned to action on Sunday with eight points, eight rebounds and three assists in 27 minutes. Poeltl missed one game with some tightness in his hamstring. Since the All-Star break, Poeltl has averaged a solid 7.1 points on 62.2% shooting, 8.1 rebounds, 1.3 assists, 1.4 blocks and 0.7 steals in just 21.9 minutes.

The Spurs franchise was originally located in Dallas. The Chaparrals as they were called moved to the Alamo City in 1973 after being sold to a group of local investors. The first game in Mavs history was a 103-92 win over the Spurs on 10/11/80.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 112.01
  • Field Goal Percentage: 47.76
  • Three-Point Percentage: 39.92
  • Free Throw Percentage: 81.95
  • Total Rebounds: 44.55

Defense

  • Total Score: 111.00
  • Field Goal Percentage: 46.59
  • Three-Point Percentage: 36.36
  • Free Throw Percentage: 75.66
  • Total Rebounds: 44.06

Why Bet on Dallas?

The Mavs lost their fifth straight and 10th in the past 11 on Sunday, 94-93 to Houston. After James Harden missed a runner with 8.9 seconds to play, the Mavericks had a chance to win. Coach Rick Carlisle opted to let it play out and rookie Luka Doncic rushed the ball up court. As three Rockets converged on him, Doncic found Jalen Brunson on the right wing, but Chris Paul recovered to make a clean block on Brunson’s running 14-footer at the buzzer.

Doncic grabbed a career-high 15 rebounds on Sunday, one shy of Jason Kidd’s franchise record for a guard, adding 19 points, nine assists, two steals, and two blocks. He shot 5-of-16 from the field and 8-of-9 from the line but was forced to give up the ball on the Mavs’ final possession due to a swarm of defenders. Doncic said he felt a “pop” in his left knee during the game. Doncic briefly went back to the locker room, but returned and kept playing through the injury. Obviously, monitor that. The Mavs will play it cautious with their young star. There won’t be a line set until his status is clear.

Spurs vs Mavericks is going to be a really close one.

Maxi Kleber (left knee effusion) returned to action on Sunday with 10 points, 11 rebounds, three blocks, one steal and one assist in 31 minutes. Kleber made 4-of-7 field goals and both of his free throws and showed no signs of the knee ailment that cost him two games.

Brunson had 18 points, seven boards, and four assists in 35 minutes, making 6-of-13 FGs and 5-of-5 FTs with one 3-pointer. He’s averaging 15.7 points, 1.3 triples, 7.0 assists, 3.3 rebounds, and 0.3 steals in his past three games.

Dallas star Dirk Nowitzki scored six points. He needs 35 more to pass Wilt Chamberlain for sixth place on the NBA’s career scoring list. Nowitzki did not play in the second half, something coach Rick Carlisle called “a coach’s decision because the matchups were very difficult.” The 40-year-old legend is averaging a mere 6.8 points on 27.5% shooting in March, playing just 16.0 minutes per game.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 107.91
  • Field Goal Percentage: 44.53
  • Three-Point Percentage: 34.05
  • Free Throw Percentage: 73.97
  • Total Rebounds: 45.14

Defense

  • Total Score: 109.61
  • Field Goal Percentage: 45.95
  • Three-Point Percentage: 34.71
  • Free Throw Percentage: 76.86
  • Total Rebounds: 44.53

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Spurs vs Mavericks NBA Betting Trends

  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Dallas
  • Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings
  • Underdog is 23-4 ATS in the last 27 meetings
  • San Antonio is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • San Antonio is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio’s last 12 games on the road
  • Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
  • Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas’s last 6 games at home

Expert Final Score Prediction for Spurs vs Mavericks

San Antonio Spurs 107 – Dallas Mavericks 108

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