Timberwolves vs Nuggets 2019 NBA Spread, Analysis & Expert Pick

Timberwolves vs Nuggets 2019 NBA Spread, Analysis & Expert Pick

Written by on December 20, 2019

On Dec. 20, the Minnesota Timberwolves travel to Denver to battle one of the better teams in the league. The Denver Nuggets continue to show the way on defense. Will the T’Wolves break down the Nuggets’ defense enough for a win against the spread? Or, will Denver dominate Minnesota? Check out the NBA odds, a preview and a free pick for Timberwolves vs Nuggets!

Timberwolves vs Nuggets 2019 NBA Spread, Analysis & Expert Pick

  • When: Friday, Dec. 6 at 9:00 pm ET
  • Where: Pepsi Center, Denver, CO
  • ATS Odds: Nuggets -10 ½
  • Over/Under Odds: 216

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves are a good bet +10 ½?

The Timberwolves played the Denver Nuggets tough in the last matchup. Minnesota lost. But the Nuggets required overtime to beat the T’Wolves. Even with the overtime minutes, the Nuggets only beat Minnesota 100-98. That game happened on Nov. 10. If anything, Minnesota will be more prepared to battle the Denver Nuggets in the rematch. They can hang with Minnesota can score an ATS victory on Friday night.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 114.7
  • Field Goal %: 44.5
  • 3-Point %: 33
  • Free Throw %: 76.9
  • Rebounds/G: 46.4
Defense:
  • Points/G: 118.1
  • Field Goal %: 46.6
  • 3-Point %: 37.4
  • Free Throw %: 79
  • Rebounds/G: 46.8

Why the Denver Nuggets are a good bet -10 ½?

Denver is on a 4 game winning streak. They’ve gone 2-1-1 against the spread in those 4 games. The Nuggets field the top-ranked defense in points allowed per game. Opponents average 101.8 versus the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets hold their foes to 43.8% from the field. Denver ranks first in field goal percentage allowed at 30.7. Minnesota must work for every basket on Friday night. That could lead to a Denver win straight up and against the spread.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 106.5
  • Field Goal %: 45.1
  • 3-Point %: 35.4
  • Free Throw %: 74.0
  • Rebounds/G: 46.0
Defense:
  • Points/G: 101.7
  • Field Goal %: 43.9
  • 3-Point %: 30.4
  • Free Throw %: 74.9
  • Rebounds/G: 44.4

NBA Betting Trends for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

  • Timberwolves are 0-8 ATS in their last 8.
  • Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 on the road versus Denver
  • Timberwolves are 0-8 SU in their last 8 games
  • Over is 6 out of the last 7 Minnesota games
  • Denver is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games versus a Western Conference opponent
  • Nuggets are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home
  • Denver is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games at home versus the Timberwolves
  • Under is 4 out of the last 5 Denver games versus Minnesota

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Final NBA Betting Analysis

Minnesota hung with the Nuggets in the first head-to-head this season. That was early, though. Right now, Minnesota plays like one of the worst teams in the NBA. The T’Wolves are on a ridiculous 8-game losing streak.

The straight-up losses happened against teams they were favored against. On Dec. 1, Memphis beat the Timberwolves 115-107 even though the T’Wolves were -12 favorites. Minnesota was a -1 favorite when Utah beat them 127-116. The Wolves couldn’t even beat New Orleans SU as a -3 ½ favorite. The Pelicans won 107.99.

Minnesota is a mess. On Friday, they must battle one of the best teams in the NBA. Denver’s defense should have no trouble containing the Minnesota Timberwolves’ offense. Nuggets win and cover.

NBA Free Pick: Nuggets -10 ½

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