NBA Betting Warriors at Timberwolves Line in Week 13, 2025 Expert Analysis and Prediction

The Golden State Warriors have lost four of five amid rumors that the team could be preparing for a major trade.

The Dubs conclude their season series with the Timberwolves on Wednesday night with Minnesota as a home favorite on the NBA odds in Week 13.

NBA Betting Warriors at Timberwolves Line & TV Info

NBA Moneylines: Minnesota -233 / Golden State +185
When: Wednesday, 9:30 PM ET
Where: Target Center
TV: ESPN
Stream: ESPN+ ^

Golden State Warriors Analysis

The Warriors are 1-2 on this four-game road trip following a 104-101 upset loss in Toronto on Monday as Ochai Agbaji scored the go-ahead basket with 1:33 left. Golden State’s Buddy Hield had one last chance for a game-tying shot, but his 3-pointer in the final seconds fell short. It was only the second win in the past 18 games for Toronto. It trailed 86-77 after a 3-pointer by Lindy Waters III with 9:27 left in the game, but outscored Golden State 27-15 down the stretch. The Warriors played without Draymond Green (illness) for the second straight game.

Steph Curry

After missing Friday’s game for injury management, Curry had a game-high 26 points along with seven rebounds and seven assists. He topped 20 points for the seventh time in his last 10 appearances and in that span is averaging 24.2 points, 5.5 assists, 5.3 boards and 5.0 threes while shooting 41.3 percent from beyond the arc.

Curry is averaging 26.3 points per game in 44 career appearances vs. Minnesota and in the three games this year is averaging 28.0 points per game. Curry has connected on 15 3-pointers against the Timberwolves this season, the most by an opposing player (next is 11, three players). Wiggins has a 16.4 scoring average in 14 games against his former team.

Stephen Curry has passed Kobe Bryant for 35th on the NBA’s all-time assists list.

🗳️» https://t.co/UJvZISU6rp pic.twitter.com/UjiQseFzl2

— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) January 14, 2025

Andrew Wiggins

Toronto native Wiggins had 20 points in his return from a two-game absence to attend to a personal matter. Kyle Anderson provided a boost off the bench with 13 points in 18 minutes. He gets more time when Green is out.

Playoff Hunt

After starting the season 12-3, Golden State is now 12th in the West at 19-20 and appears headed for a frantic battle for one of the four play-in spots. But neither Curry nor Coach Steve Kerr think the team should make a major trade and ship out young talent such as Jonathan Kuminga, Moses Moody and Brandin Podziemski (currently out injured). The front office has engaged in internal discussions about finding a center who can consistently make three-pointers to create more space for Curry.

Steve Kerr

“That’s the hard part in addressing all this stuff,” Kerr said. “We’re not giving in. But you have to be realistic organizationally about where you are. And you have to mind what’s coming ahead in the future. I probably won’t be around, but I would tell you, if this organization gave away the next six or seven drafts for a wild swing, that would be the most irresponsible thing that they could do.”

The Defense

The Warriors are ranked eighth in defensive rating (110.5) and 21st in offensive rating (110.9) by NBA.com. The Warriors are tied third in the NBA in rebounding (46.4 rpg), eighth in assists per game (28.5 apg), tied 18th in scoring (111.0 ppg). Golden State is ranked 10th in opponent field goal percentage (45.7 FG%) in the NBA and seventh in opponent 3-point field goal percentage (35.1 3P%). The Warriors are also seventh in deflections per game (18.1).

The Warriors have played in 24 clutch games this season, the second-most by any team this season (Minnesota leads with 25). Golden State is 11-13 in those 24.

Minnesota Timberwolves Analysis

Minnesota won for the fourth time in five games Monday, 120-106 at Washington. Anthony Edwards hit a reverse layup and fed Nickeil Alexander-Walker for a baseline 3 on consecutive possessions to start a 16-2 game-deciding run midway through the fourth quarter to break it open. Minnesota more than doubled up Washington in free throw attempts, 31-15.

Anthony Edwards

Edwards had one of his best games of the season with 41 points, seven assists and six rebounds. It was his second-highest scoring outing of the season behind his 53-point performance against Detroit on Jan. 4, and he scored 20 of his 41 points in the fourth quarter Monday. It was his 15th game with five or more triples, and he is on pace to shoot a career-high 42.2 percent from beyond the arc.

Edwards is averaging 23.7 points per game in 16 career appearances against the Warriors. Earlier Monday, Edwards was fined $50,000 by the NBA for an obscene gesture directed at an official in Saturday’s loss in Memphis. He is tied for the league lead with nine technical and has now been fined five times. Head coach Chris Finch says he has spoken with Edwards about both issues. Finch believes Edwards will do a better job of controlling his emotions.

5th 40+ PTS/ 5+ REB/ 5+ AST game of his career.

that’s the most in franchise history 👏

VOTE » https://t.co/iBU749jcwm pic.twitter.com/Csx7bxnX6i

— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) January 14, 2025

Chris Finch

“He’s extremely self-aware. I think he has emotional control for sure,” Finch said. “I think he’s frustrated on many levels. I think some of that frustration is certainly in & around the whistle no doubt, but he’s just got to figure it out, play through it and he’ll be fine.”

Rudy Gobert

Gobert had a double-double of 11 points and 11 rebounds, his 16th double-double across 39 regular-season appearances. The big man has been efficient of late, shooting 80.0 percent from the field over his last three outings. However, Gobert is averaging his lowest points per game (10.1) since the 2015-16 campaign, as well as his lowest rebounds per game (10.5) since the 2014-15 season.

Led by Gobert’s game-high 11 rebounds, the Timberwolves outrebounded the Wizards, 53-34, the eighth time this season grabbing 50 or more rebounds as a team. Minnesota is now 7-1 on the season when doing so. The +19 rebounding differential is a season-high and the team’s largest since outrebounding the Grizzlies in Memphis by 26 (54-28) on Dec. 8, 2023. Over the last five games (4-1), the Wolves have grabbed 50+ rebounds in four of those games, averaging 50.4 rebounds per game, the second-most in the NBA in that span.

Julius Randle

Randle also had a double-double of 20 points and 10 rebounds, his eighth DD of the year. Randle has recorded 20-plus points in 22 of his 39 regular-season appearances thus far. Monday was his fourth straight making at least 50% of his shots.

With Edwards and Randle each scoring 20+ points on Monday, it marked the 19th time the two teammates have scored 20+ points in the same game, third-most of any duo in the NBA (22, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams, Oklahoma City Thunder and 20, Karl-Anthony Towns and Jalen Brunson, New York Knicks).

The Timberwolves have now made 588 threes in their first 39 games of the season, the fourth-most made threes in the NBA this season and the most made threes through the first 39 games of a season in franchise history.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Series History

This concludes the season series with Golden State leading 2-1. The other game in the Twin Cities was the last meeting on Dec. 21 and the Dubs won 113-103. Stephen Curry scored 11 straight points in the fourth quarter and 31 for the night to lead the way. Curry made seven 3-pointers and had 10 assists. He hit three 3-pointers and a pair of free throws in a 90-second span that helped the Warriors pull away after blowing a 21-point first-half lead. Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo led Minnesota with 19 points apiece. Golden State leads all-time 76-57 but trails 34-32 in Minnesota.

NBA STANDINGS UPDATE ‼️

▪️ Top two teams CLE, OKC keep rolling
▪️ DEN (4th in West) wins 4th in a row
▪️ MIL moves into 5th in East

Download the NBA App for more: https://t.co/WAQ7n00Rjz pic.twitter.com/JIn644P73S

— NBA (@NBA) January 15, 2025

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