Michigan State vs Penn State NCAAB Odds, Preview & Pick

2020 Michigan State vs Penn State NCAAB Odds, Preview & Pick

Written by on March 3, 2020

On Tuesday, March 3, scorching Michigan State heads to University Park looking to exact revenge against the Penn State Nittany Lions. The Spartans’ rivals beat MSU a couple of weeks ago. Now, Michigan State hopes for a table-turning. A victory keeps Sparty’s Big Ten hopes alive. A loss dents those hopes big time. Will MSU come through? Check out College basketball odds, analysis, and a free pick for Michigan State vs Penn State!

Spartans vs Nittany Lions NCAAB Odds, Preview & Pick

Why Michigan State Spartans are a good pick -1 ½

Before the season started, college hoops analysts made Michigan State the top team in the nation. Although the Spartans had a rough time of it early in the season, they’ve gotten on a roll the past couple of weeks. MSU is on a 3-game winning streak. 2 of the wins happened against ranked rivals Iowa and Maryland. Beating Penn State on the road won’t be easy. But Sparty smells a Big Ten Regular Season title. Michigan State has a chance to win and cover.  

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 75.7
  • Field Goal %: 45.8
  • 3-Point %: 35.2
  • Free Throw %: 75
  • Rebounds/G: 37.8
Defense:
  • Points/G: 64.4
  • Field Goal %: 37.8
  • 3-Point %: 28.4
  • Free Throw %: 69.6
  • Rebounds/G: 29.7

Why Penn State Nittany Lions are a good pick +1 ½

About a month ago, the Penn State Nittany Lions headed to East Lansing a +8 ½ underdog. Most expected Michigan State to handle the Lions. That didn’t happen. Instead of folding against the home favorites, Penn State upset Michigan State 75-70. If anything, the change in venue on Tuesday night should bolster Penn State’s chances. Don’t look past the Nittany Lions to provide the 2-game sweep versus MSU on March 3.  

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 75.4
  • Field Goal %: 43.8
  • 3-Point %: 32.8
  • Free Throw %: 68.8
  • Rebounds/G: 35.6
Defense:
  • Points/G: 67.4
  • Field Goal %: 40.5
  • 3-Point %: 32.1
  • Free Throw %: 68
  • Rebounds/G: 33.9

NCAAB Betting Trends for Michigan State Spartans vs Penn State Nittany Lions

  • Spartans are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 on the road
  • Michigan State is 2-6 ATS in their last 8
  • Spartans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 as a favorite
  • Under is 10-2-1 in Michigan State’s last 14
  • Penn State is 0-4 ATS n their last 4
  • Nittany Lions are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog
  • Penn State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 following a straight-up loss
  • Under is 5-0 in Nittany Lions last 5

Michigan State vs Penn State Final NCAAB Betting Analysis:

Penn State is reeling. The Nittany Lions had been on an 8-game winning streak. During the streak, they beat and covered against Ohio State, Michigan, Michigan State, Indiana, and Purdue. Penn State looked like the top team in the conference.

But starting on Feb. 18, things fell apart. The Nittany Lions head into this match on a 4-game losing streak ATS. They’ve lost 3-of-4 SU and beat Rutgers by a point, 65-64. As if things weren’t bad enough, Penn State faces a surging Michigan State squad on Tuesday. The Spartans beat Maryland 78-66 in their last.

Although the trends point to a Penn State win and cover, back Michigan State. The Spartans head into this battle off their best performance of the season. MSU wins and covers.

NCAAB Free Pick: Michigan State -1 ½  

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