Boise State Broncos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: 3/11/2021 MWC Tournament Betting Trends, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds, Line and Preview

Written by on March 11, 2021

The No. 4 seed Boise State Broncos (18-7) are 4-point favorites in the MWC Tournament quarterfinals against the No. 5 seed Nevada Wolf Pack (15-9) on Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center. The contest tips off at 5:30 PM ET and airs on CBS Sports, with both teams hoping to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

Betting Information

Boise State vs Nevada Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Boise State -4 -113 -109 146.5 -109 -113 -186 152

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Boise State vs Nevada
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Boise State (-4) Under (146.5) Boise State 74 Nevada 68

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Total Facts

  • The Broncos and their opponents have totaled at least 146.5 points — this matchup’s over/under — in seven of 25 games (28%) this year.
  • Nevada has combined with its opponents to score more than 146.5 points in nine of 24 opportunities (37.5%) this season.
  • The two teams average a combined 2.7 more points per game (149.2) than this matchup’s total of 146.5 points.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 134.3 points per game, 12.2 fewer than the over/under for this game.
  • The average point total for Broncos games this season is 5.1 fewer points than the total of 146.5 in this matchup.
  • Wolf Pack games this year have averaged a total of 142.1 points, 4.4 less than the point total in this matchup.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The 76 points per game the Broncos put up are 7.1 more points than the Wolf Pack give up (68.9).
  • Boise State is 17-1 overall and 12-0-1 against the spread when scoring more than 68.9 points.
  • Nevada is 1-4 against the spread and 1-4 overall when allowing more than 76 points.
  • The Wolf Pack’s 73.2 points per game are 7.8 more points than the 65.4 the Broncos allow.
  • Nevada has put together a 15-0 ATS record and a 14-6 overall record in games it scores more than 65.4 points.
  • Boise State has an ATS record of 2-4 and a 3-3 record overall when its opponents score more than 73.2 points.
  • The Broncos have totaled 263 more points than their opponents this season (10.6 per game on average), and the Wolf Pack have scored 104 more points than their opponents (4.3 per game).

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Boise State Betting Information

  • Boise State is solid against the spread, going 14-9-1 this season.
  • The Broncos have posted a winning record of 8-7-1 against the spread when the spread is -4 or bigger.
  • The Broncos have failed to combine with their opponents to reach the over/under just 11 times in 24 games this season.

Nevada Betting Information

  • Nevada has a 17-6 record against the spread, covering in 73.9% of their contests.
  • When they are at least 4-point underdogs, the Wolf Pack have fared well, going 9-2 against the spread.
  • The Wolf Pack and their opponents have hit the over in more than half of their matchups this year — 14 of 23 (60.9%).

Head to Head

Boise State vs Nevada (Last 4 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
2/7/2021 Boise State -5 145.5 -221 +179 Regular Season 73-62 NEVADA
2/5/2021 Boise State -4.5 144 -201 +164 Regular Season 74-72 NEVADA
2/1/2020 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 73-64 BOISE
1/4/2020 Nevada -3.5 150.5 -175 +140 Regular Season 83-66 NEVADA

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Boise State Leaders

  • Derrick Alston leads the Broncos in scoring, tallying 17.5 points per game to go with 3.6 rebounds and 2.2 assists.
  • Mladen Armus is Boise State’s leading rebounder, pulling down 8.0 per game, while Rayj Dennis is its best passer, distributing 3.0 assists in each contest.
  • Alston makes more threes per game than any other member of the Broncos, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.5 per contest.
  • The Boise State steals leader is Marcus Shaver Jr., who averages 1.3 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Abu Kigab, who compiles 0.9 rejections per contest.

Nevada Leaders

  • Grant Sherfield’s points (18.0 per game) and assists (6.2 per game) stat lines give him the top rebounding and assists spots on the Wolf Pack’s leaderboards.
  • Nevada’s Zane Meeks stats (5.9 rebounds per game, 9.0 points per game, 0.7 assists per game) earned him the top spot on the team rebound leaderboard.
  • Desmond Cambridge makes more threes per game than any of his teammates on the Wolf Pack, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a rate of 2.6 per outing.
  • Nevada’s leader in steals is Sherfield with 1.6 per game, and its leader in blocks is K.J. Hymes with 1.0 per game.
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