Louisville vs Florida State NCAAB Odds, Analysis and Picks

Louisville vs Florida State NCAAB Odds, Analysis and Picks

Written by on February 24, 2020

Two top 10 teams with legitimate national championship hopes will be going all out to get the victory when the eighth-ranked Florida State Seminoles host the 11th-ranked Louisville Cardinals in their ACC showdown on Monday night. With both ballclubs looking to make a statement in this matchup, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their NCAAB Odds in this Louisville vs Florida State contest.

Louisville vs Florida State NCAAB Odds, Analysis and Picks

Why Bet On Louisville

Louisville has won two straight after dropping their previous two games. The Cardinals managed to overwhelm North carolina 72-55 on Saturday to cash in as a 10.5-point home favorite as Jordan Nwora put up a double-double of 18 points and 11 rebounds to lead the way to victory. Now, the Cards will look to extract some revenge for their humbling 78-65 home loss against Florida State on Jan. 4.

“These are the games that you want to play in and that you want to be meaningful,” Cardinals coach Chris Mack told reporters of the upcoming matchup. “. … They’re going to be a heck of a challenge for our team. They’re going to pressure the ball, they’re going to switch everything, they’re going to extend their defense all over the floor. We have to be able to get the shots we did in the first half against them and get better ones than we did in the second half.”

Louisville averages 75.3 points per game (73rd) while limiting the opposition to 63.7 points per contest defensively (37th). The Cardinals are a modest 6-3 on the road this season.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 75.25
  • Field Goal %: 45.68
  • Three Point %: 38.34
  • Free Throw %: 72.86
  • Total Rebounds: 39.18

Defense

  • Total Score: 63.68
  • Field Goal %: 38.49
  • Three Point %: 29.99
  • Free Throw %: 72.67
  • Total Rebounds: 32.43

Louisville Cardinals Betting Trends

  • Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Cardinals are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • Cardinals are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 Monday games.

Why Bet On Florida State

Florida State has won three straight including a 67-61 road win over NC State on Saturday as a slight, 1.5-point road favorite.

MJ Walker and Patrick Williams both scored a team-high 12 points while Devin Vassell added 11 points and six rebounds. The Seminoles got the win despite shooting a tepid 40.7 percent from the field.

“This time of year for our team, you’d like to think that you’re growing and maturing and adjusting to things that are (happening) on the court,” Florida State coach Leonard Hamilton told reporters. “I thought our guys responded very well in the locker room.”

Now, winners of 21 straight home games, including 14 straight this season, The Noles will look to take care of business again at home. Florida State averages 75.3 points per game (72nd) while limiting the opposition to 65.4 points per game defensively (71st). The Seminoles have gone a stupendous 14-0 at home this season.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 75.26
  • Field Goal %: 45.58
  • Three Point %: 36.06
  • Free Throw %: 75.9
  • Total Rebounds: 35.3

Defense

  • Total Score: 65.44
  • Field Goal %: 40.38
  • Three Point %: 32.19
  • Free Throw %: 73.85
  • Total Rebounds: 33.04

Florida State Seminoles Betting Trends

  • Seminoles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
  • Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.

Louisville vs Florida State Expert Analysis and Prediction

While I’m expecting Louisville to show up with a great effort in this contest, I believe Leonard Hamilton is also expecting the Cardinals to come out focused and locked in on getting some payback for their home loss against Florida State last month. With that said, I also like the Noles to take care of business in this one in order to keep their unblemished home record intact.

While Louisville has gone 5-2 ATS in their last seven after a straight-up win, Florida State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. I know the underdog and road team in this ACC rivalry has gone an identical is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, but I love the low, 2.5-point spread in this meeting and I genuinely believe Florida State is going to cover it with just a bit of room to spare.

Pick: Florida State 74 Louisville 70

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