LSU at Mississippi State NCAAB Odds & Game Analysis.

LSU at Mississippi State NCAAB Odds & Game Analysis

Written by on February 6, 2019

No matter the sport, there always seems to be one specific division or conference that is just that much better than the rest. Of course, fans will continually argue that the conference they follow is the one that is the strongest, but it is results that tend to dictate just who is at the top of the heap. In college football, there is no denying that the SEC is at the top of the heap, but that does not carry over into basketball. Florida was very good back in the day and Kentucky has always been a bit of a powerhouse, but outside of that, the SEC has not had much success on the hard court.

We might just see that change this season, with Tennessee sitting at #1 in the ranking and 2 other teams sitting in the top 25. The LSU Tigers are one of those 2 teams, and they will be looking to keep their spot as a ranked team when they go on the road to face the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Wednesday night. The Bulldogs are in as a 3-point home favorite, with the point total set at 155 ½.

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Why bet on the LSU Tigers?

The LSU Tigers worked their way into the top 25 with a very solid 10-game winning streak, but that all came to an end over the weekend with a surprising 90-89 loss to the Arkansas Razorbacks in a game that LSU had started as a 10-point favorite. That defeat took them to 17-4 on the season, dropping them down to the #3 spot in the SEC and into the #21 spot in the national rankings.

This next game up is a bit of a tricky one, as the Bulldogs are 16-5 on the season despite positing a .500 record in conference play. The Tigers are still very much in touch with Tennessee and Kentucky in the race for the regular season conference title, but a loss here would make it tough for them to catch up. LSU are 4-1 ATS on the road this season, including being 2-1 ATS as a road underdog.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 82.95
  • Field Goal Percentage: 47.17
  • Three-Point Percentage: 32.83
  • Free Throw Percentage: 76.42
  • Total Rebounds: 38.14

Defense

  • Total Score: 72.48
  • Field Goal Percentage: 43.38
  • Three-Point Percentage: 33.91
  • Free Throw Percentage: 69.98
  • Total Rebounds: 32.90

Why bet on the Mississippi State Bulldogs?

The Bulldogs have had a bit of a rough go of things since heading into conference play, going 4-4 to this point, hurting their overall record, which was at 12-1 in non-conference games. At 16-5, though, this is a team that still has a shot at playing in the tournament, although you have to believe that their conference play needs to improve if they are to get off the bubble and into March Madness.

LSU vs Mississippi State is going to be a close one.

These two have split their 10 previous meetings, but it is the Bulldogs who have the definite home advantage, going 4-1 SU and ATS in their last 5 home meetings with LSU. Overall, though, this team is just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games and are 5-5 ATS as a home favorite this season.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 72.48
  • Field Goal Percentage: 43.38
  • Three-Point Percentage: 33.91
  • Free Throw Percentage: 69.98
  • Total Rebounds: 32.90

Defense

  • Total Score: 70.29
  • Field Goal Percentage: 43.49
  • Three-Point Percentage: 35.24
  • Free Throw Percentage: 71.35
  • Total Rebounds: 31.67

LSU at Mississippi State NCAA Basketball Betting Trends

  • LSU is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 games on the road
  • LSU is 5-11 SU in the last 16 games on the road
  • The total went OVER in 10 of LSU’s last 12 games on the road
  • Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games when playing LSU
  • Mississippi State is 10-1 SU in the last 11 games at home
  • The total went OVER in 5 of Mississippi State’s last 6 games at home

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for LSU at Mississippi

Both of these teams have a lot at stake coming into this game, and while it has been the Bulldogs who have had the better of LSU at home, I think the Tigers go in and spring the mild upset on Wednesday night.

Score: LSU Tigers 77 – Mississippi State Bulldogs 74

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