Nevada vs San Diego State NCAA Basketball Odds & Prediction.

Nevada vs San Diego State NCAA Basketball Odds & Prediction

Written by on February 20, 2019

Perhaps the best team you haven’t watched this season in NCAA basketball and it’s probably the best in the odds to win March Madness? That would be No. 6 Nevada of the Mountain West Conference as the Wolf Pack has just one loss all season and can inch closer to winning the regular-season conference title as a short college basketball odds favorite at a good San Diego State team on Wednesday.

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Season Series

First meeting. Last year, SDSU won two of three. The last met in the Mountain West Tournament semifinals, and the unranked Aztecs beat the No. 22 Wolf Pack 90-73. Devin Watson had 20 points and Jalen McDaniels 17 points and 12 rebounds. The Wolf Pack was led by Jordan Caroline, who scored 25 points and grabbed 10 rebounds before fouling out. Caleb Martin added 13 for Nevada, while Elijah Cooke had 10. The Wolf Pack shot 39.7 percent from the field, connecting on just 27 of 68. The team’s 24.1 percent clip from 3-point range was a season low.

San Diego State leads the all-time series 15-5.

Why Bet on Nevada?

Nevada won its 10th in a row Saturday, trashing Wyoming 82-49. The Wolf Pack shot 54.4 percent from the field. Nevada avenged last season’s loss at Laramie, when Wyoming defeated the then-No. 23 ranked Wolf Pack 104-103 in two OTs.

The Cowboys were just 15 for 50 (a season-low 30 percent) overall and 6 of 24 from the 3-point line. The 49 points scored was the fewest this season by Wyoming. Entering the game, the Cowboys had won five of their last six home games against ranked foes dating to 2012.

Trey Porter led the way with 14 points, and Jordan Caroline and Caleb Martin each scored 13. Jazz Johnson contributed 12 points and Tre’Shawn Thurman had 11 points and 12 rebounds for Nevada (24-1, 11-1 Mountain West).

Since suffering its only loss of the season at New Mexico the Pack has won its last 10 games by an average of 22 points per game. Averaging 85.6 points and allowing 63.6. The 10-game win streak is tied with Houston for the fourth longest active streak in Division I.

The Wolf Pack is one of just two one loss teams in Division I. The Pack’s 24-1 record is the best after 25 games in school history. The 11-1 MW record is the best after 12 games in school history. The 24-1 record is tied with 2010-11 SDSU team for the best start in MW history after 25 games as is the 11-1 MW record after 12 games.

Caroline is averaging near a double-double scoring 18.8 points and grabbing 9.8 rebounds per game. He has a double-double in 15 games this season and 42 in his Nevada career that is fourth in school history. The Pack is 40-2 when he posts a double-double. Cody Martin leads the MW averaging 5.4 assists per game as does his 2.9 assist/turnover ratio. Nationally he is 25th in assist/turnover ratio and 48th in assists per game.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 82.48
  • Field Goal Percentage: 47.11
  • Three-Point Percentage: 34.38
  • Free Throw Percentage: 72.92
  • Total Rebounds: 37.72

Defense

  • Total Score: 65.88
  • Field Goal Percentage: 40.12
  • Three-Point Percentage: 31.36
  • Free Throw Percentage: 68.02
  • Total Rebounds: 35.36

Why Bet on San Diego State?

SDSU has won six of its last seven games to improve to 8-4 in MW play. The Aztecs are fourth in the MW standings and 6-0 at home in conference play.

San Diego State comes off a 71-65 home win over Boise State on Saturday. Devin Watson paced San Diego State with 19 points, Jalen McDaniels added 18 and Matt Mitchell and Nathan Mensah also scored in double figures as the Aztecs ran their home conference winning streak to 12 games in splitting the season series with the Broncos.

Boise State pulled to within four points with 45 seconds to play on RJ Williams’ put-back and then a free throw by Pat Dembley. Justinian Jessop’s three-pointer later sliced it to 68-65 before Watson’s free throw helped seal the win.

Nevada vs San Diego State is going to be a close one.

San Diego State overcame a halftime deficit to win in a conference game for the first time this season. Overall, it was the third time SDSU has rallied from a deficit at intermission. In the first meeting between the teams, Boise State outrebounded San Diego State, 33-25. This time, SDSU won the rebounding battle 43-25 and is 12-1 when outrebounding its opponent this season San Diego State’s seven blocked shots tied a season high.

Since the start of the 2012-13 season, San Diego State is 52-7 in conference home games. It has won 10 straight games when leading with five minutes to play. Since Dec. 29, 2018, McDaniels is averaging 19.8 points, 9.9 rebounds and 2.0 assists, while shooting 53.6 percent from the field. He is the one of only four players in the nation that is averaging 19-9.5-2 and is shooting at least 50 percent from the field during that time frame.

“We’re excited for our opportunity on Wednesday, playing the No. 6 team in the country, 24-1, and in all honesty, a team capable of making a run to the Final Four,” SDSU coach Brian Dutcher said. “I’m sure we will get their full attention also, having been fortunate enough to beat them twice at the end of last year. I know that we have been circled on their schedule for a long time. … We’ll just have to set a defensive game plan to try to slow them down. The pace they play at is the pace they play at; we’re not going to be able to change that.”

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 74.48
  • Field Goal Percentage: 45.55
  • Three-Point Percentage: 36.60
  • Free Throw Percentage: 73.83
  • Total Rebounds: 35.64

Defense

  • Total Score: 68.68
  • Field Goal Percentage: 41.89
  • Three-Point Percentage: 33.72
  • Free Throw Percentage: 71.15
  • Total Rebounds: 32.64

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Nevada vs San Diego State NCAA Basketball Betting Trends

  • Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego St
  • Home team is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings
  • Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings
  • Nevada is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada’s last 6 games
  • San Diego State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State’s last 6 games

Expert NCAAB Betting Prediction

SDSU pulls off the upset – take the points.