New Mexico State vs Baylor College Basketball Betting Preview

Posted by Daniel Strum on Wednesday,December 23, 2015 10:54, EDT in

The Baylor Bears are once again in the top 25 in NCAA basketball, which means they have now been ranked for 19 straight weeks. They will need to win to maintain that streak, and will have the chance to do so when they welcome in the New Mexico State Aggies to the Ferrell Center in Waco, TX on Wednesday, December 23. Tip-off for this one is set for 8 PM EST on FSN. For a closer look at all the odds and NCAA Basketball Online Odds picks make sure to check out MyBookie.ag.

A Close Look at the Aggies vs Bears College Basketball Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears have the home court advantage, and look like pretty good value for their straight up odds of -1099. The Aggies are going to feel that they might be able to spring the upset, which would mean that they would cover the point spread of +12.5. As always, the OVER/UNDER is a great betting play, and the number there is set at 130.

Why bet on the New Mexico State Aggies at odds of +12.5

The Aggies (7-5) were in a slump that saw them lose 3 of 4 games, but they have broken out of that and are coming into this one on a modest 2-game winning streak. While not necessarily always picking up the wins, the Aggies have held their own against good teams, and are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games versus teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. They are also 13-5 in their last 18 games versus teams with a winning straight up record. The UNDER has gone 6-1 in the last 7 games that New Mexico State has played against teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. The Aggies are averaging 72.2 PPG, and are giving up 64.9 PPG.

Why bet on the Baylor Bears at odds of -12

The Baylor Bears are clinging to their top 25 status by the skin of their teeth after losing to a ranked Texas A&M side. Both of their losses this season have come at the hands of ranked opponents, and both were on the road. Baylor is a perfect 8-0 at home this season, but are just 0-4-0 ATS to this point in the year. That doesn’t mean they don’t ever cover, though, as they are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after an ATS loss. Wednesday games for Baylor have a tendency to go OVER, as that number is 7-2-1 in their last 10. The Bears are averaging 82.4 PPG, and are giving up 63.1 PPG.

My Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

When these two teams played at this time last year, it was Baylor who ran out 66-55 winners. I expect to see a similar sort of victory for the Bears, although I do think we will see more scoring this time around.

My pick: New Mexico State Aggies 64 Baylor Bears 72