Rutgers vs Michigan State NCAAB Spread & Betting Analysis

Rutgers vs Michigan State NCAAB Spread & Betting Analysis

Written by on February 20, 2019

Michigan State has started surging, which could be bad news for the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Rutgers attempts to stop the Spartans from heading to the end of the regular season on a massive tear when they take on MSU on the road on Feb. 20. Does Rutgers have any shot of keeping it close, or will Sparty blow out the Scarlet Knights? Also, be sure to check out the latest 2019 March Madness odds.

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Rutgers vs Michigan State NCAAB Spread & Betting Analysis

Why Rutgers Scarlet Knights are a good bet ATS?

On the surface, it doesn’t look like Rutgers has any shot of escaping East Lansing with a respectable loss. The Scarlet Knights average less than 68 points per while allowing a bit more than 68 points per.

But, although Rutgers hasn’t been great straight up, they’ve been very good against the spread. The Scarlet Knights are 3-0 ATS in their last 3, covering against Illinois, Northwestern, and Iowa. That’s a sign they can hang with MSU on Wednesday.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 67.7
  • Field Goal %: 41.4
  • 3-Point %: 31.5
  • Free Throw %: 62.8
  • Rebounds/G: 39.5
Defense:
  • Points/G: 68.1
  • Field Goal %: 42.6
  • 3-Point %: 35.9
  • Free Throw %: 65.1
  • Rebounds/G: 30.8

Why #11 Michigan State Spartans a good bet ATS?

Is Michigan State a safe NCAAB odds pick on Tuesday night?

21-5 Michigan State had lost 3 in a row. Since the losing streak, the Spartans have been exceptional. They’ve won 3 in a row, and it hasn’t been close. Sparty beat Minnesota 79-55, they beat Wisconsin on the road 67-59 as a -2 favorite, and in their last they dominated rival Ohio State 62-44 as a -12 home favorite.

They should have no trouble beating Rutgers by over 20 points and possibly close to 30 points on Wednesday.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 80.6
  • Field Goal %: 48.9
  • 3-Point %: 38.6
  • Free Throw %: 72.9
  • Rebounds/G: 41.8
Defense:
  • Points/G: 65.8
  • Field Goal %: 37.1
  • 3-Point %: 31.6
  • Free Throw %: 67.4
  • Rebounds/G: 29.3

NCAAB Betting Trends for Rutgers vs Michigan State

  • Rutgers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Rutgers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rutgers’s last 6 games on the road
  • Michigan State is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games
  • Michigan State is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Michigan State’s last 11 games

Rutgers vs Michigan State Final NCAAB Analysis

Michigan State’s ratcheted up the defensive pressure. In every one of their last 3 victories they’ve held their opponents to 60 points or less. The Spartans held Ohio State to less than 45 points in their last game.

Rutgers isn’t a high-scoring team as it is, which means they’ll have a much harder time keeping up with Michigan State than Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Ohio State had. The Spartans are getting out in transition when they can. They figure to do that plenty of times on Wednesday night.

The spread should be ridiculous, but Michigan State’s playing too well not to cover. They’ll get it done against the overmatched Scarlet Knights on Feb. 20.

NCAAB Betting Pick: Michigan State ATS

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