St Bonaventure vs Dayton NCAA Basketball Pick

Posted by Eric Williams on February 18, 2016 in

The 13th-ranked Dayton Flyers are coming off a humbling loss the last time out, but that just makes them more attractive and value-packed in the online sportsbook odds. They’re heading into Saturday’s showdown against the St. Bonaventure Bonnies.

Let’s find out why Dayton looks like a value-packed pick in this contest! Also, check out the recap of when these two last met which was on January 19th.

St Bonaventure vs Dayton NCAA Basketball Pick & TV Info

When: Saturday, February 20 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: University of Dayton Arena, Dayton, Ohio
TV: NBC Sports Network
Radio: AM1290 / News 95.7 WHIO Radio
Live Stream: Dayton Flyers Athletics

Why Bet The St. Bonaventure Bonnies

St. Bonaventure (17-7 SU, 12-7-1 ATS) had their five-game winning streak snapped in their humbling 71-64 loss against lowly LaSalle on Wednesday night while failing to cover the spread as a 9-point road dog to fall to 1-3 ATS over their last four games.

The Bonnies had a one-point lead late in regulation, but LaSalle took control in the final two minutes to get the win. Marcus Posley scored a team-high points and drained five three-pointers, but the Bonnies shot just 37 percent in the loss while allowing the Explorers to snap their 10-game losing streak.

Why Bet The Dayton Flyers

The Flyers (21-4 SU, 12-12 ATS) had their nine-game winning streak snapped in their convincing 79-70 loss to St. Joe’s on Wednesday night while failing to cover the spread as a 1-point road dog to fall to 0-2-1 ATS over their last three games.

Junior guard Charles Cooke led the Flyers with a team-high 16 points, but Dayton made just eight of their whopping 31 three-point attempts against a St. Joe’s team that is clearly underrated.

“That to me is as good of a team as we’ve seen this season,” Dayton coach Archie Miller said. “They’re a different type of team because of the way their skill level is. I think Coach has got them clearly from an offensive perspective really in a great rhythm because of their movement. They’re hard to guard. I thought the thing that was really surprising to me though was how they overpowered us for about 40 minutes. Physically I thought they dominated us. They were commanding in how they approached the game.”

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Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

While the odds for this matchup aren’t out just yet, I’m expecting Dayton to be favored by somewhere between 6-8 points. I also like the Flyers to get the SU win and ATS cover because of their loss to St. Joe’s. Dayton has won nine of their last 10 meetings against St. Bonaventure including their 85-79 road win on Jan. 19 as a 3-point road favorite.

While the Flyers average 2.3 fewer points per game than the Bonnies, they also limit their opponents to 6.5 fewer points per game defensively and rank 28th in the nation in points allowed.

The Flyers are 5-1 ATS in their last half-dozen games against the Bonnies and I expect them to improve on that mark after getting humbled the last time out!

My final score prediction is Dayton 78 St. Bonaventure 70