If you like to take the guesswork out of often gut-wrenching ATS picks and ‘keep it simple’ by making generally easier SU picks, then you’re in for a treat thanks to this expert betting breakdown on three of the eight Sweet 16 pairings that are on tap for this Thursday and Friday night. With tip-off times quickly approaching for all four matchups, let’s get started and find out more about the latest NCAAB online betting spread.
Sweet 16 SU Picks – Cash in on March Madness Outright Winners!
No. 4 Iowa State vs. No. 1 Virginia
When: 7:10 PM ET, Friday, March 25, 2016
Where: United Center, Chicago, Illinois
Line: Virginia -5.5
Total: Over/Under: 141
Analysis: s much as I like Iowa State high-scoring Iowa State (23-11 SU, 17-13 ATS) and All-American forward Georges Niang and the five other players that all average double digits in scoring, I just can’t see the Cyclones beating a Virginia Cavaliers (28-7 SU, 18-14 ATS) team that has routinely shut its opponents down all season. Virginia limited its opponents to just 59.5 points per game this season and have a heady All-American of their own in Malcolm Brogdon (18.6 ppg).
Prior to their tourney run, Iowa State dropped two straight, three of five and four of their previous seven games overall. Virginia has gone 8-1 in their neutral site games this season while Iowa State has gone 5-2 in seven neutral site contests. More importantly, the Cavaliers give up a whopping 15.2 fewer points per game than the Cyclones, which is why they’ll win this affair outright!
The Pick: Virginia 77 Iowa State 73
No. 4 Duke vs. No. 1 Oregon
When: 10:07 PM ET, Thursday, March 24, 2016
Where: Honda Center, Anaheim, California
Line: Oregon -2.5
Analysis: The Oregon Ducks (30-6 SU, 20-13 ATS) are the easy pick to take down a Duke Blue Devils (25-10 SU, 14-18 ATS) ballclub that I believe is mediocre at best this season. Outside of the athletically-gifted forward Brandon Ingram (17.1 ppg) and hard-nosed shooting guard Grayson Allen(21.8 ppg), Duke just doesn’t have a bunch of experience to lean on and it will show in this contest against an Oregon team that is out for both, a big-time win – and the respect they feel they deserve this season.
Oregon has four players that average at least 12.1 points per game and has a duo of stars in forwards Dillon Brooks (16.8 ppg) and Elgin Cook (14.5 ppg). The Ducks went 7-1 in eight neutral site games while Duke lost three of their eight neural site matchups. Prior to winning their two tourney games, the Blue Devils alternated SU wins and losses over their previous eight games while falling to Notre Dame, Carolina, Pittsburgh and Louisville.
Oregon has won their last 10 games and will advance to the Elite Eight by handing the Blue Devils in this contest.
The Pick: Oregon 80 Duke 74
No. 7 Wisconsin vs. No. 6 Notre Dame
When: 7:27 PM ET, Friday, March 25, 2016
Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Line: Notre Dame -1
Analysis: Notre Dame (23-11 SU, 15-16 ATS) may be favored in this contest, but it is Wisconsin (22-12 SU, 18-16 ATS) that I like to get the SU win because of their absolutely stupendous defense. The Badgers limited their opponents to just 63.9 points per game to rank 18th in the nation and I expect them to get after a Notre Dame team that has been held to 62 points or less four times in their last 10 games, including a pitiful 78-47 loss against North Carolina in the ACC tournament.
Wisconsin has a trio of experienced players in forward Nigel Hayes (15.9 ppg), guard Bronson Koenig (13.3 ppg) and forward Ethan Happ (12.4 ppg) that I expect to counter Notre Dame’s Demetrius Jackson (15.5 ppg) and the four other Fighting Irish players that average double figures for the Badgers in scoring.
The Badgers won three of their five neutral site games this season and have the experience of playing in last season’s national championship under their collective belts. Notre Dame went 4-4 in eight neural site games and has the look of a team whose good fortune is about to run out.