Winthrop vs Duke 2019 College Basketball Odds, Preview & Pick

Winthrop vs Duke 2019 College Basketball Odds, Preview & Pick

Written by on November 29, 2019

The Duke Blue Devils hope history doesn’t repeat itself on Friday night. Duke lost straight up to Stephen F. Austin at home in their last. Winthrop hopes to pull off the mighty upset again. Even if the Eagles don’t win, will they play well enough to cover the spread? Check out NCAAB odds, a preview, and a free pick for Winthrop versus Duke!

Winthrop vs Duke 2019 College Basketball Odds, Preview & Pick

  • When: Friday, Nov. 29 at 7:00 pm ET
  • Where: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC
  • TV: ACC Network
  • ATS Odds: 23 ½  

Why the Winthrop Eagles are a good bet +23 ½?

Winthrop is 4-3 SU. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS, though. On the road, the Eagles are undefeated at 4-0 against the spread.  Earlier this season, Winthrop almost pulled off the straight-up win against Fresno State in an away game. They only lost by 3. Although Winthrop shouldn’t beat Duke on Friday night, they will play well enough for the spread cover.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 78.3
  • Field Goal %: 46.7
  • 3-Point %: 32.7
  • Free Throw %: 57.4
  • Rebounds/G: 40.9
Defense:
  • Points/G: 65.3
  • Field Goal %: 38.6
  • 3-Point %: 33.1
  • Free Throw %: 65.7
  • Rebounds/G: 31.9

Why the Duke Blue Devils are a good bet -23 ½?

Duke’s last game provided a major disappointment. The 1-ranked team in the nation fell 83-85 in overtime to Stephen F. Austin. That should motivate the Blue Devils to dominate Winthrop on Friday night. Although the Lumberjacks pulled off the upset, don’t expect lightning to strike twice. Duke remains one of the top teams in the nation. They will prove it with a big win and cover on Nov. 29.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 83.9
  • Field Goal %: 44.8
  • 3-Point %: 33.3
  • Free Throw %: 66.3
  • Rebounds/G: 44.4
Defense:
  • Points/G: 64.0
  • Field Goal %: 42.1
  • 3-Point %: 31.2
  • Free Throw %: 64.4
  • Rebounds/G: 29.6

College Basketball Betting Trends for Winthrop vs Duke

  • Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games
  • Winthrop is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 90 in their previous game
  • Eagles are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games
  • Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss
  • Duke is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight-up loss
  • Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games

Winthrop vs Duke Final Betting Analysis

Duke’s defense fell apart versus Stephen F. Austin. Coach K won’t let the defense fall apart 2 games in a row. While the Lumberjacks shot 48.5% from the field, Winthrop should shoot less than 42.1%. That’s the Blue Devils average allowed.

Stephen F. Austin made 2-of-10 three-point shots. That means, Duke failed to level-down once the ball got into the paint. That won’t happen against Winthrop. The Eagles’ top rebounder, Josh Ferguson, averages 6.4 boards per. Duke should control the paint and the perimeter.

The Blue Devils want to make a statement here. They’ll bounce back from the Lumberjack loss with a close to 30 point victory over the Winthrop Eagles.

College Basketball Free Pick: Duke Blue Devils -23 ½

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