In sports, winning is everything. The truth of the matter is that winning means even more in college football, as a single loss can often be enough to derail a season and make a National Championship nothing short of impossible. It is, of course, possible to drop a game and still make the playoffs, but that very often means hoping that other teams slip up.
So far, the big guns have all escaped defeat, although Michigan have already had a couple of scares. We are going to look ahead to Week 3 of the season to see if we can pick out some SU winners from what is a very busy NCAAF Betting schedule.
2019 College Football Week 3 SU Betting Picks
North Carolina Tar Heels over Wake Forest Demon Deacons
I was going to go with this Friday night game in my ATS picks, but I have decided to roll the dice a little and go with it as a straight up pick. It was a terrible season for UNC in 2018, so much so that they decided to clean house and lure old coach Mac Brown out of retirement.
With wins over South Carolina and Miami to start the season, the move by the Tar Heels looks like an inspired one. Both of their wins have been in tight games, which I think is what we will get here. I am going to take the Tar Heels to win on the road as a slight underdog.
College Football Week 3 Betting Trends
- Tar Heels are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games
- Demon Deacons are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
- Tar Heels are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference
USC Trojans over BYU Cougars
I am always a little wary about taking the road team straight up in a game where the point spread is rather tight, but it now looks as though I am going to have two of them already this week.
The USC Trojans have opened their 2019 college football campaign with a pair of wins, and while they struggled a little in the opening week against Fresno, they looked much more composed in Week 2 versus Stanford. BYU had a big win over Tennessee in OT last weekend, but that was against a Vols team that looks very poor this year. I like USC to win and move to 3-0.
College Football Week 3 Betting Trends
- Trojans are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Independent conference
- Trojans are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played in week 3
- Cougars are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
- Cougars are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games played in week 3
Iowa Hawkeyes over Iowa State Cyclones
Many of the big rivalry games comes later in the season, so it’s always fun to have one on the schedule in the early going. We have a good one set to roll this weekend, with the Iowa Hawkeyes set to go on the road to face the Iowa State Cyclones. It has been Iowa who have had the best of this meeting in recent years, winning 7 of the last 10.
That record includes winning 4 of their last 5 against the Cyclones on the road, which would appear to make them a very good bet again this weekend, especially given how good they have been defensively through the opening 2 weeks.
College Football Week 3 Betting Trends
- Hawkeyes are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Iowa State
- Hawkeyes are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference
- Cyclones are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games
- Cyclones are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games at home
Florida Gators over Kentucky Wildcats
One of the big questions heading into this season was whether anyone was going to be able to seriously challenge the Georgia Bulldogs in the SEC East. The Florida Gators and the Kentucky Wildcats have emerged as the early favorites to do so, but one of them is going to lose ground this weekend.
The Gators barely survived their opener against a very weak Miami team and will need to avoid the turnovers that almost did them in there. The Wildcats do not look as good as they did last season, but they are still 2-0. I think the Gators win this one going away.
College Football Week 3 Betting Trends
- Gators are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games
- Gators are 19-1 SU in their last 20 games against Kentucky
- Wildcats are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
- Wildcats are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games at home
