NCAAF 2020 Week 5 Top Games Expert Analysis

NCAAF 2020 Week 5 Top Games Expert Analysis

Written by on September 29, 2020

Can the Tennessee Volunteers take care of business against the visiting Missouri Tigers? Will the West Virginia Mountaineers avoid their second loss of the season against unbeaten Baylor? Last, but not least, can nationally-ranked Oklahoma State cover the chalk as a three-touchdown road favorite at Kansas? Could the Texas A&M Aggies pull off the huge upset over No. 2 Alabama in this SEC showdown? Will nationally ranked Oklahoma rebound from their stunning upset loss the last time out when the Sooners hit the road to take on Iowa State? Finally, will No. 4 Georgia be able to hold down the fort at home against visiting No. 7 Auburn in another huge SEC pairing? With Week 5 of the 2020 NCAA college football season upon us, let’s find out the answers to all the questions so you can bet on their College Football odds.

2020 NCAA Football Week 5 Top Games to Bet On

No. 13 Texas A&M (1-0) at No. 2 Alabama (1-0)

Texas A&M kicked off their 2020 campaign by getting past Vanderbilt 17-12 last weekend as quarterback Kellen Mond passed for 189 yards with one touchdown and no picks and running back Isaiah Spiller added 117 rushing yards in the low-scoring affair. Alabama man-handled Missouri en route to a commanding 28-19 win in their opener last weekend as quarterback Mac Jones passed for 249 yards and two scores while running back Najee Harris added 98 rushing yards and three touchdowns.

The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, but a polar opposite 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Alabama has gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October, but just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. I like the Tide to get the road win in this SEC showdown, but I’m going with Texas A&M to cover the chalk because the Aggies will have the edge at quarterback.

Pick: Alabama 31 Texas A&M 23

No. 18 Oklahoma (1-1) at Iowa State (1-1)

After trouncing Missouri State 48-0 in their opener, 18th-ranked Oklahoma got stunned in their 38-35 home loss against K-State on Saturday while never coming close to covering the spread as a whopping 28-point favorite. New starting quarterback Spencer Rattler looked rattled throughout while passing for 387 yards with four touchdowns – and three costly interceptions.

After losing to Louisiana Lafayette in their opener, Iowa State managed to squeak past TCU 37-34 last weekend despite narrowly failing to cover the chalk as a 3.5-point road favorite. Quarterback Brock Purdy passed for 211 yards with one touchdown and no picks while running back Breece Hall added 154 rushing yards and three scores.

Despite their on-field success in recent seasons, the Sooners are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall,1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Conversely Iowa State has gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog, 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. Oklahoma manages to scratch out the narrow road win, but I’ve got Iowa State covering the chalk by harassing Spencer Rattler into a couple of costly mistakes.

Pick: Oklahoma 28 Iowa State 24

No. 7 Auburn (1-0) at No. 4 Georgia (1-0)

Auburn man-handled SEC rival Kentucky 29-13 last weekend to cash in as a 6.5-point home favorite as quarterback Bo Nix passed for 233 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions while wide receiver Seth Williams hauled in six passes for 112 yards and two scores. Georgia kicked off their 2020 campaign by overpowering Arkansas 37-10 last weekend as quarterback Stetson Bennett passed for 211 yards with two touchdowns and no picks. Georgia scored 22 third quarter points to take control after going into the half down 7-5.

Auburn has gone 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games in October, but Georgia has gone an impressive 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games against a team with a winning road record. While the Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Georgia and 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings, I’m going with Auburn to cover the spread in this one because of their big edge at quarterback.

Pick: Georgia 27 Auburn 21

Missouri (0-1) at No. 21 Tennessee (1-0)

Quarterback Shawn Robinson completed 19 of 25 passes for 185 yards with one touchdown and no picks, but Missouri got humbled in their 38-19 season-opening loss last weekend though the Tigers covered the spread as a 28.5-point home dog. Tennessee got past South Carolina 31-27 on Saturday as a 4-point road fave as quarterback Jarrett Guarantano passed for 259 yards with one touchdown and no picks while adding a touchdown run in the win.

The Tigers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 conference games. The Volunteers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. While the favorite in this SEC rivalry has gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings, I like the Tigers to cash in against a Tennessee team I believe is seriously overrated right now. The Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Tennessee and I like the Over to play out again in this Week 5 meeting.

Pick: Tennessee 28 Missouri 24

Baylor (1-0) at West Virginia (1-1)

Baylor blew Kansas out of the water in their 47-14 season-opening win on Saturday as quarterback Charlie Brewer threw one TD pass and the Bears added three rushing scores in the win. Two weeks after beating overmatched Eastern Kentucky 56-10 in their opener, West Virginia was on the wrong end of a humbling 27-13 loss against No. 17 Oklahoma State while failing to cover the chalk as a 5.5-point road dog. The Mountaineers gave up 20 second quarter points in the loss and couldn’t make up the deficit in the second half.

Baylor has gone 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games. West Virginia has gone 3-1-1 ATS in their last five conference games, but just 1-3-1 ATS in their last five home games and 5-16-2 ATS in their last 23 games as an underdog. Baylor wins and covers college football bettors. It’s that simple!

Pick: Baylor 35 West Virginia 24

No. 17 Oklahoma State (2-0) at Kansas (0-2)

Oklahoma State got past Tulsa 16-7 in their opener two weeks ago and subdued West Virginia 27-13 last weekend to improve to 2-0 on the season. Running back LD Brown rushed for 103 yards and one score while Heisman Trophy contender Chuba Hubbard added 101 rushing yards and another score.

Kansas fell against Coastal Carolina 38-23 in their opener on Sept. 12 before getting completely overwhelmed in their 47-14 blowout loss against Baylor last weekend. Running back Pooka Williams was the only bright spot as he rushed for 76 yards and two scores in the loss.

Oklahoma State has gone 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win, 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven road games. Kansas is 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.

After watching the Jayhawks put up a miserable performance last weekend, I’m going with Oklahoma State to win, but I don’t like the huge spread and expect Kansas to cover as three-touchdown home dogs.

Pick: Oklahoma State 35 Kansas 17

Live Chat