After overcoming the largest spread in the history of their long rivalry against Tennessee a week ago, top-ranked and NCAAF Week 10 betting odds favorite Alabama will look to cover the biggest spread in over a decade against No. 19 LSU this coming weekend.
If you want to know if the unbeaten Crimson Tide can cover the chalk as three-touchdown home favorites when they host the Tigers in their SEC showdown on Saturday, let’s find out right now! Alabama will host LSU at Bryant-Denny Stadium at 8:00 PM ET with this matchup airing on CBS.
LSU Tigers (6-2) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0) NCAAF Week 10 Betting Odds & Preview
— LSU Football (@LSUfootball) 1 de noviembre de 2017
- When: Saturday, November 4, 2017, 8:00 PM ET
- Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium
- TV: CBS
- Radio: 650 AM (LSU) / 94.5 FM (Alabama)
- Live Stream: SEC Network
- NCAAF Week 10 Odds: Alabama Crimson Tide -21 (Over/Under at 48.5)
- Clear: 20°C/68°F
- Humidity: 96%
- Precipitation: 7%
- Cloud Cover: 30%
- Wind: 2 mph S
- Stadium Type: Open
Recent Head to Head (Last 10 Games)
- Record: Alabama leads 8-2
- Score: LSU 13.20 / Alabama 21.80
- Rush Yards: LSU 116.00 / Alabama 159.30
- Pass Attempts: LSU 24.30 / Alabama 29.80
- Completion Percentage: LSU 52.26 / Alabama 57.05
- Passing Yards: LSU 152/40 / Alabama 199.10
- Total Yards: LSU 268.4 / Alabama 358.4
- Turnovers: LSU 1.40 / Alabama 1.40
Why consider the Tigers NCAAF Week 10 Betting Odds?
Why bet on the Tigers in this Week 10 conference clash?I guess the best reason to do that is that the 21.5-point spread is the largest betting line between the two longtime SEC rivals in over 10 years! LSU is also playing solid football coming into this matchup having won three consecutive games and four of their last five games overall.
“LSU has gotten better as the season has gone on,” Saban said. “Probably the worst thing that happened for all of us in the SEC is when they lost to Troy.
“They’ve really made a turnaround as a team, which I think speaks volumes of the coaching staff and the job that Ed Orgeron has done there to get the players to re-center, refocus, work on improving. They’ve been very productive since that time and playing very, very well as a team.”
The Tigers are also coming off of what was probably their best game of the season two weeks ago and their second-highest scoring total of the season in their 40-24 blowout win over Ole Miss as a 6.5-point road favorite in Week 8. Still, snapping a six-game skid against the top-ranked Tide will be difficult.
“We focus in on the task at hand,” LSU head coach Ed Orgeron said, “but I realize that it’s out there, obviously. I realize the pressure to beat Alabama as the head coach here.”
LSU ranks 27th nationally in points allowed (20.0 ppg), but Orgeron says he knows his team needs to execute at a high level and maintain discipline.
“The first thing we talk is execution, doing it right every down,” Orgeron said. “When you watch them play, you watch them block, you watch them run, it’s all about great athletes being well-coached and execution.
Why consider the Crimson Tide’s NCAAF Week 10 Betting Odds?
Why bet on top-ranked Alabama? Well, damn, let me count the ways!
I could start by saying that Alabama absolutely embarrassed Tennessee 45-7 two weeks ago to cover the chalk as a mind-boggling 36.5-point home favorite and that now, no spread looks too big for them to cover. I could also point to the fact that the Crimson tide has scored 41 points or more in every game this season except two.
Last but not least, I could also point to the fact that Alabama has covered the spread in each of the last four meetings against LSU, including last season’s 10-0 shutout win as a 7-point road favorite. Last but not least, I could say that the better the opponent, the better Alabama plays.
“This game has turned into a huge rivalry through the years since I’ve been here especially, but probably even before that,” Alabama head coach Nick Saban said. “Since 2007, I think, both teams have been ranked in the Top 20 in each one of these games that we’ve played. I don’t think this one’s really any different.”
Latest NCAAF Week 10 Betting Trends
- Louisiana State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
- Louisiana State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana State’s last 7 games when playing Alabama
- Alabama is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana State
- Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama’s last 6 games
Expert Analysis and Prediction
Maybe I’m just exhausted and tired of being proven wrong by Alabama, but really, after seeing the way the Crimson Tide overpowered Tennessee to cover the chalk as an insane five-touchdown-plus home favorite two weeks ago, I’m just not going against the Tide right now.
LSU may be 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, but I’m concerned by the fact that the Tigers are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Combine that with the fact that Alabama has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a bye week while also going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 conference games and I just don’t see this game turning out to be a close affair.
LSU quarterback Danny Etling is pretty mediocre and I’m expecting Alabama’s powerful defense to force him into a couple of costly turnovers while they simultaneously shut down running back Derrius Guice. Alabama ranks first in points allowed (9.8 ppg) and this season, a stellar fifth in scoring (43.0 ppg). For me, that’s more than enough reasons to back the Tide NCAAF Week 10 betting odds in this one!
Pick: Alabama -21