Alabama Host Ole Miss in Week 5 as Huge NCAAF Odds Favorites

Alabama Host Ole Miss in Week 5 as Huge NCAAF Odds Favorites

Written by on September 27, 2017

College Football is perhaps the one sport that is tougher than most for teams looking to build a dynasty. After all, every program loses a batch of players every season, as some move on to the NFL while others finish school and leave the program. If you are a big-name school, it’s a little easier to recruit 5-star talent to fill those losses and remain as NCAAF odds favorites, but there is never any guarantee that those replacements are going to come close to being as good as their predecessors.With all of that in mind, it really is astonishing how good the Alabama Crimson Tide have been in the Nick Saban era. The coach was able to awake a sleeping giant, to the point where Alabama is quite simply a dominant force in College Football. They have started this season with a perfect 4-0 record and will be looking for win #5 when they welcome in their SEC West rivals, the Ole Miss Rebels.Conference games are always a little tougher, but Alabama comes into this one as a firm 28-point favorite, with the point total set at 59. Can Ole Miss spring the big upset in Tuscaloosa, or will they just be able to cover that huge spread?

Ole Miss at Alabama Game Info, Preview & NCAAF Odds

When: Saturday, September 30 at 9 PM ESTWhere: Bryant-Denny Stadium, TuscaloosaTV: ESPNRadio: 97.3 FM (Ole Miss) / 102.9 FM (Alabama)Live StreamSEC NetworkNCAAF Odds: Alabama Crimson Tide -28 (Over & Under at 59)

USF is Top NCAAF Betting Pick Against East Carolina in Week 5

Team Records

  • All: Ole Miss Rebels 2-1 / Alabama Crimson Tide 4-0
  • Home: Ole Miss Rebels 2-0 / Alabama Crimson Tide 3-0
  • Away: Ole Miss Rebels 0-1 / Alabama Crimson Tide 1-0
  • ATS: Ole Miss Rebels 0-3 / Alabama Crimson Tide 2-2
  • Over & Under: Ole Miss Rebels 1-1 / Alabama Crimson Tide 2-2

Series History

  • Total Meetings: 61
  • First Meeting: October 27th, 1894. Jackson, Mississippi
  • Last Meeting: Septemeber 17th, 2016. Oxford, Mississippi
  • All-Time Series: Alabama 48-11-2
  • Largest Margin of Victory: Alabama 64-0 (1917)
  • Longest Win Streak: Alabama 12 (1912-1932)
  • Current Win Streak: Alabama 1 (2016)

Why bet on the Ole Miss Rebels?

For a few years, the NCAAF Odds were with the Ole Miss Rebels and they were able to push Alabama all the way in the SEC West, but they have proven to be one of those schools who has been unable to replace the talented players that they lost. Ole Miss is on the decline right now, and while they are currently 2-1 on the season, their two wins came against far inferior teams.Their first big test came a couple of weeks ago against Cal, a game that Ole Miss ended up losing 27-16. They have now failed to cover the spread in 5 straight games, so you really wonder if they are going to be able to hang with a team as good as the Alabama Crimson Tide.The Rebels have won just 2 of their last 13 meetings with Alabama, and just 1 out of 11 when playing the Crimson Tide in Tuscaloosa. That said, they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games versus this weekend’s opponent.

Team Statistics

Offense

  • Average Score For: 36
  • Total Yards: 496.67
  • Rush Yards: 69.67
  • Passing Yards: 427

Defense

  • Average Score Against: 25.67
  • Total Yards: 369
  • Rush Yards: 184
  • Passing Yards: 185

Why bet on the Alabama Crimson Tide?

Every college football season seems to begin with people questioning whether the current Alabama team is as good as the teams that went before. Those people will pick apart the Crimson Tide piece by piece, looking for flaws that can be taken advantage of by the opposition.Once again, Nick Saban and Alabama are huge NCAAF Odds favorites.The Tide just continue to roll, though, and they have looked pretty close to unbeatable so far this season. Last weekend was a perfect example of what this team can do. Leading up to their game versus Vanderbilt, members of the Commodores called out the Crimson Tide, essentially suggesting that they were weak and there for the taking.Alabama did their talking on the field, routing Vandy 59-0 in a display that was as dominating as the score suggests. Alabama is almost impossible to beat at home and ae 19-1 in their last 20 games in their own building. One thing to look about the NCAAF Odds for this game is the UNDER, as it has come up in 4 of the last 5 home games that Alabama has had against Ole Miss.

Team Statistics

Offense

  • Average Score For: 41.25
  • Total Yards: 482.5
  • Rush Yards: 303.25
  • Passing Yards: 179.25

Defense

  • Average Score Against: 10
  • Total Yards: 248.25
  • Rush Yards: 70.50
  • Passing Yards: 177.75

Recent Head to Head (Last 10 Games)

  • Record: Alabama Crimson Tide leads 8-2
  • Score: Ole Miss Rebels 18.70 / Alabama Crimson Tide 30.80
  • Rush Yards: Ole Miss Rebels 91.20 / Alabama Crimson Tide 200.50
  • Pass Attempts: Ole Miss Rebels 33.80 / Alabama Crimson Tide 33.20
  • Completion Percentage: Ole Miss Rebels 52.07 / Alabama Crimson Tide 63.86
  • Passing Yards: Ole Miss Rebels 215.80/ Alabama Crimson Tide 211.70
  • Total Yards: Ole Miss Rebels 307 / Alabama Crimson Tide 412.2
  • Turnovers: Ole Miss Rebels 2.20 / Alabama Crimson Tide 1.60

Latest College Football Betting Trends

  • Rebels are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road
  • Rebels are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Mississippi’s last 21 games on the road
  • Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games at home
  • Crimson Tide are 19-1 SU in their last 20 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Alabama’s last 12 games at home

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I really don’t see any scenario where the Ole Miss Rebels head into Alabama and come away with the win. I think this thing will be more about damage control than anything else. I’m taking Alabama to win and cover, and I am also going with the UNDER.Score Prediction: Ole Miss Rebels 10 – Alabama Crimson Tide 43
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