Arizona State vs California 2019 College Football Week 5 Odds, Game Preview and Pick

Written by on September 24, 2019

Friday night’s big Pac 12 battle has the Arizona State Sun Devils traveling to NoCal to take on the Cal Golden Bears. ASU shocked the college football world with a road victory over Michigan State a couple of weeks ago. Can the Sun Devils pull off another road win? Check out the College Football Week 5 odds, analysis and a free pick for Arizona State vs California!

Arizona State vs California 2019 College Football Week 5 Odds, Game Preview and Pick

  • When: Friday, Sep. 27 at 10:30pm ET
  • Where: Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA
  • TV: ESPN
  • Radio: Penn State / Maryland
  • Live Stream: ESPN+
  • ATS Odds: California -4 ½
  • Moneyline Odds: Arizona State +160 / California -185
  • Over/Under Odds: 40 1/2

Weather Forecast

  • Mostly Cloudy: 13°C/56°F
  • Humidity: 77%
  • Precipitation: 10%
  • Wind: 15 mph SW
  • Cloud Cover: 19%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why the Arizona State Sun Devils are a good bet +4 ½?

Arizona State is winning with its defense. The Sun Devils field one of the top defenses in the Pac 12. It allows less thanks 14 points per game on average. Because of their excellent defense, ASU often plays in close games, like when they beat Michigan State 10-7. ASU’s defense could most definitely keep them in this game with the California Golden Bears. The Sun Devils mustn’t win straight up. As long as they lose by 4 points or less, they’ll win against the spread.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 379.8
  • Passing Yards: 268.2
  • Rushing Yards: 111.5
  • Points Scored: 22.5
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 346
  • Passing Yards: 242.8
  • Rushing Yards: 103.2
  • Points Allowed: 13.8

Why the California Golden Bears are a good bet -4 ½?

California is undefeated because like ASU, they put an emphasis on the defensive side of the ball. The Golden Bears have already beaten a couple of teams they were supposed to lose straight up to: the Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Washington Huskies. Both were straight up Golden Bear victories as an underdog. Now back at home, Cal should have no trouble using their D to frustrate the Sun Devils’ offense. Once that happens, the Bears will take charge and win and cover.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 371.2
  • Passing Yards: 212.8
  • Rushing Yards: 158.5
  • Points Scored: 24.5
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 366.5
  • Passing Yards: 225.2
  • Rushing Yards: 141.2
  • Points Allowed: 17.2

College Football Week 5 Betting Trends for Arizona State vs California

  • Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf
  • Sun Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Friday games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Arizona State’s last 5 games
  • Golden Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games
  • Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record
  • The total went UNDER in 11 of California’s last 13 games

Arizona State vs California Final NCAAF Betting Analysis

Forget the Sun Devils’ 31-34 loss to Colorado in their last game. This one should play out much differently because both these squads will try to eat up clock and play a field possession game. ASU would much prefer to play that way while Cal always plays that way.

The Golden Bears failed to cover against both Cal-Davis and North Texas because of how they play. Cal doesn’t blow out teams. That’s not their game plan. What they do is keep the ball away from you, play conservatively, and then use their defense to get the upper hand.

Although that worked against a much better team than ASU in Washington a few games ago, as well as on the road against Mississippi State, Arizona State has an edge with Herm Edwards roaming the sidelines. The former NFL coach understands perfectly how to call a defensive game. That doesn’t mean Cal loses straight up. It does mean that Herm and his staff will ensure the Sun Devils are within a field goal late in this one.

Here’s another where we must take the points. ASU keeps it within the number.

College Football Week 5 Free Pick: Arizona State +4 ½