In true tradition to the history of NCAA Football betting, the Navy Midshipmen will be hosting the Army Black Knights this Saturday in the 116th edition of their interservice rivalry, a game that will mark the end of the regular season and pave way for the start of the bowl games. Can the Midshipmen continue their recent dominance over the Black Knights, or will Army pull a mega surprise in the online odds and lines by upsetting their hosts to claim the prestigious Thompson Cup? Read on as we break it down for you in the preview below.
— Army Football (@ArmyWP_Football) December 11, 2015
A Closer Look at the Black Knights at Midshipmen College Football Betting Odds and Picks
Date: Saturday, December 12, 2015
ime: 3:00 PM ET
NCAAF Lines: Army (+21.5) at Navy (-21.5), OVER/UNDER 50
All Time Rivalry Standing: Navy Leads the Series 59-7-49
Why Bet on the Navy
Despite suffering a 21-point loss to Houston last Saturday, the Midshipmen enter this year’s rivalry on the back of a strong run that saw them compile a sterling 9-2 (7-1 AAC) record on the season, and will be hoping to finish the year on a high note this Saturday. The Black Knights (2-9), on the flipside, have struggled for pretty much the entire season and bring with them a four-game losing skid into this encounter. Making matters worse for the Black Knights, the Midshipmen enter this matchup owning a 13-game streak in the annual rivalry, which is in fact the longest win streak in their history. In essence, that’s the reason Navy is placed as an overwhelming three-touchdown favorite to win Saturday’s nationally televised game.
As a consolation, though, the last meeting between the two teams on December 13th, 2014 didn’t end in a blowout, with Navy securing just a 17-10 win. As a matter of fact, three of the last four Army-Navy encounters have been decided by just seven points or less. Army fans can therefore be hopeful of keeping the scores close to at least cover the huge spread. Not to mention, Midshipmen had no answers for Houston’s quarterback Greg Ward Jr. who threw for 308 yards and three touchdowns last week to lead the Cougars to an emphatic 52-31 win over Navy, putting an end to Navy’s five-game winning streak.
Why Bet on the Army
Army’s quarterback Chris Carter, who was impressive in his first career start last week, should thus fancy his chances of having another good game. Though the Black Knights suffered a disheartening 31-21 loss to Rutgers last Saturday, Carter posted a total of 251 yards. On the ground, he gained 111 yards rushing on 20 carries and scored once, while he tallied a touchdown and 140 yards on 4-of-6 passing, which interestingly marked the most passing yards by an Army quarterback in five years. If Carter can have a similar or better game this Saturday, there’s no doubt that the Black Knights could feature decently in this game.
Of course, Army’s defense will also have to chip in handily if Navy is to be stopped from running away with the game. Last week, the Black Knights allowed 254 rushing yards to Rutgers, something that is really concerning given that Navy’s ground attack impressively ranks second in the FBS in rushing offense, averaging a massive 330.1 yards per game this season. This run-oriented offense is led by dual-threat QB Keenan Reynolds, who has remarkably amassed 1,093 yards and 19 touchdowns on the ground, along with 964 yards and six touchdowns in the air.
Army vs Navy Key Betting Trends
• Army is 0-5 ATS in its last five games
• Navy is 4-1 ATS in its last five games
• Army is 4-7 ATS thus season
• Navy is 8-3 ATS this season
• Army is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
• Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
• Army is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
• Navy is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
• The total has gone UNDER in five of Army’s last seven games
My Army @ Navy Expert Betting Predictions
With Reynolds and his offense coming off a limited performance against Houston’s stingy rushing defense, you can be sure that they’ll be looking to bounce back in a big way this Saturday against the much-softer Army team. If the Black Knights cannot find a way to put the clamps on this fierce rush-minded offense, they could be in for a big loss. Reynolds and Navy bounce back from last week’s loss in a big way, rushing their way to a big win and cover, beating Army by 25-plus points, with the total looking likely to go past 50 points for an OVER payout.