The eighth-ranked Baylor Bears will look to avoid the upset and remain unbeaten when they hit the road to take on a struggling Texas Longhorns team that is completely and utterly desperate at this point of the 2016 season. Now, let’s find out why this contest looks like a virtual lock to me and the latest NCAA football odds.
In Depth Analysis On The Bears At Longhorns College Football Winning Favorites
When: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, October 29, 2016
Where: Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas
Live Stream: ABC Live Stream
Betting Odds: Baylor -3
Why Bet Baylor at -3
The eighth-ranked Bears (6-0 SU, 2-4 ATS) remained unbeaten by pounding the snot out of the Kansas Jayhawks in their 49-7 Week 8 rout as quarterback Seth Russell threw two touchdown passes and ran for two more while defensive back Ryan Reid returned the first of his two interceptions for a touchdown in a game that was pretty much over by halftime.
The Baylor Bears are averaging a stellar 43.6 points per game to rank ninth nationally while limiting their opponents to just 17.7 points per game defensively to rank 11th nationally.
Why Bet Texas at +3
Texas has lost four of its last five games and looked as dysfunctional as ever in their 21-7 Week 8 loss against Kansas State on Saturday. The Longhorns allowed K-State signal-caller Jesse Ertz to throw two touchdown passes and run for another. Texas converted a pitiful 3 of 11 third down attempts and got dominated on both sides of the ball despite winning the turnover battle 3-0.
Texas is averaging a healthy 34.1 points per game to rank 38th nationally but re giving up a whopping 32.1 points per game defensively to rank a discouraging 95th nationally.
Expert Prediction and Pick
I have no idea why the Baylor Bears are just 3-point road favorites in this contest, but I believe they’re an absolute lock to win and cash in because of the strange spread. Baylor averages just over nine points per game more than Texas while also giving up a whopping 15 fewer points per contest defensively. The Bears have scored at least 35 points in each of their last five games while the Longhorns have been limited to 27 points or less in each of their last two contests.
Baylor is 5-1 ATS in their last six road dates against Texas and will be looking for some serious payback after getting upset by the Longhorns at home last season 23-17. Simply put, I believe the Bears get their revenge and then some despite Texas’ near-perfect 7-1 ATS mark in its last eight home games.