Baylor at West Virginia NCAA Football Week 9 Odds & Pick

Baylor at West Virginia NCAA Football Week 9 Odds & Pick

Written by on October 22, 2018

#12 West Virginia hosts tough Baylor in a key college football matchup on Thursday, Oct. 25. With only a single loss, the Mountaineers can work their way back into the New Year’s Day Bowl game discussion, but to do so, they must beat teams like Baylor. Check out our NCAA football odds, analysis, and a free pick for Baylor at West Virginia!

Baylor at West Virginia 2018 NCAA Football Week 9 Odds

Weather Forecast

  • Mostly Cloudy: 7°C/45°F
  • Humidity: 57%
  • Precipitation: 2%
  • Wind: 3 mph NE
  • Cloud Cover: 63%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Baylor is a good bet at +14?

In 3 of their last 4 games, the Baylor Bears have played great. They beat Kansas 26-7, Kansas State 37-34, and lost by only 6 to Texas, 17-23.

The loss to Texas might be more impressive than either of the wins. Baylor entered Austin as a huge +14 dog. They left Austin having earned the respect of every Longhorns’ fan. Bears played great on both sides of the ball to put a massive scare into Top 10 ranked Texas. Bears shouldn’t be taken lightly in this matchup on Thursday night.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 33.1
  • Total Yards: 475
  • Pass Yards: 313.3
  • Rush Yards: 161.7
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 31
  • Total Yards: 407.9
  • Pass Yards: 218
  • Rush Yards: 189.9

Why #12 West Virginia is a good bet at -14?

Is West Virginia a safe bet for NCAA Football Week 9?

West Virginia battles Baylor after a bye. That’s good news for the Mountaineers because before the bye, they couldn’t keep it close versus underdog Iowa State on the road. The Cyclones beat West Virginia 30-14.

The loss not only likely ended WVU’s chances at a CFP berth, it also became the Mountaineers second loss in a row against the spread. West Virginia needed a break. They got one. With fresh legs, WVU should go back to their dominating ways.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 36.8
  • Total Yards: 464.3
  • Pass Yards: 320.5
  • Rush Yards: 143.8
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 20.5
  • Total Yards: 359.8
  • Pass Yards: 218.5
  • Rush Yards: 141.3

Baylor at West Virginia NCAA Football Week 9 Betting Trends

  • Baylor is 2-4-1 ATS in the last 7 games
  • Baylor is 6-19 SU in the last 25 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Baylor’s last 6 games
  • West Virginia is 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games
  • West Virginia is 5-1 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went UNDER in 8 of West Virginia’s last 11 games

Final NCAA Football Analysis for Baylor at West Virginia

Baylor played remarkably well when hanging with the favored Longhorns in their last. But, the Bears match up much better with Texas than they do with West Virginia. Baylor allows 190 rushing yards per. West Virginia averages 141 rushing yards.

If Baylor decides to stop WVU on the ground, the Mountaineers will turn to quarterback Will Grier. Grier can beat the Bears with his arm. This game should look more like Baylor’s 33-66 loss to Oklahoma than it’s 17-23 loss to Texas.

West Virginia wins and covers.

NCAA Football Week 9 Pick: West Virginia -14

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