The Air Force Falcons will look to pull off the upset over the 20th-ranked Boise State Broncos when the two longtime rivals square off in their Mountain West Conference showdown on Friday night. Now, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their college football odds for Air Force vs Boise State.
Air Force vs Boise State 2019 College Football Week 4 Lines & Game Analysis
- When: Friday, September 20, 2019 at 9:00 PM ET
- Where: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
- TV: ESPN2
- Radio: Boise State / Air Force
- Live Stream: WatchESPN
- College Football Week 4 Odds: Boise State -8 / Total: 55
- Partly Cloudy: 19°C/66°F
- Humidity: 63%
- Precipitation: 10%
- Wind: 12 mph NW
- Cloud Cover: 40%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why Bet On Air Force at +8?
The best reason to back the Falcons as road dogs in this one is that they’re actually statistically better than Boise State on both sides of the ball. The Falcons are averaging a healthy 39.0 points per game while limiting the opposition to just 15.0 points per game. Air Force got past Colorado 30-23 in overtime in a hard-fought affair that saw quarterback Donald Hammond III pass for 155 yards and two touchdowns while adding a rushing score in the win. Running back Kadin Remsberg added 146 rushing yards and one score in the win.
- Average Score For: 48
- Total Yards: 464
- Pass Yards: 41
- Rush Yards: 423
- Average Score Against: 7
- Total Yards: 161
- Pass Yards: 86
- Rush Yards: 75
Why Bet On Boise State at -8?
The best reason to back the Broncos is because they’re playing at home against a longtime rival and looking to give their big-time bowl game hopes a boost. Boise State is averaging 31.7 points per game and allowing just 16.0 points per contest defensively. The Broncos pounded the snot out of overmatched Portland State 45-10 the last time out as quarterback Hank Bachmeier passed for 238 yards with two touchdowns and one interception and Boise State’s defense pitched a shutout after allowing 10 first quarter points.
- Average Score For: 25
- Total Yards: 529
- Pass Yards: 344.50
- Rush Yards: 184.50
- Average Score Against: 19
- Total Yards: 299
- Pass Yards: 191.50
- Rush Yards: 107.50
Air Force vs Boise State College Football Week 4 Betting Trends
- Air Force is 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games
- Air Force is 4-1 SU in the last 5 games
- The total went OVER in 4 of Air Force’s last 5 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference
- Boise State is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games
- Boise State is 10-1 SU in the last 11 games
- The total went UNDER in 6 of Boise State’s last 8 games
Expert Analysis and Prediction for Air Force vs Boise State
While Boise State has won each of the last two meetings by at least 10 points, Air Force won each of the three prior meetings and I believe the Falcons are good for the STS cover at the very least in this Week 4 matchup.
I know the Falcons are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and that the home team has gone 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.However, the underdog in this rivalry has gone 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
Last but not least, Air Force is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record while Boise State has gone a discouraging 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games. I’m going with the Air Force Falcons to cover the chalk in a thriller.
Pick: Air Force +8