Boise State vs UNLV 2019 College Football Week 6 Odds & Expert Pick.

Boise State vs UNLV 2019 College Football Week 6 Odds & Expert Pick

Written by on October 4, 2019

If you listen to all the chatter, it would seem that college football fans are a tough bunch to please. For years, people wanted to see a playoff system put in place. That has now been done and proven to be very successful, but there is now a move to expand the playoff from its current setup. Many are of the belief that all of the Power 5 Conference Champions should automatically be in. If the playoffs were expanded to 8 teams, that would then leave room for some other teams from the Power 5, as well as a team or two from the Group of Five and the Independents.

It’s the Group of Five teams, most notably UCF and Boise State, who have been the most vocal about being given a chance to play with the big boys. Any changes to the current system are probably still years away, which means that these teams need to keep winning and settling for big bowl games. Unbeaten Boise State will look to extend their perfect start to the season when they head to Sin City on Saturday night to face the UNLV Rebels as a 22 ½ point favorite. The point total for this one is set at 57.

Boise State vs UNLV 2019 College Football Week 6 Odds & Expert Pick

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Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 26°C/79°F
  • Humidity: 10%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 0%
  • Wind: 6 mph ESE
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why bet on the Boise State Broncos?

Once again, the Boise State Broncos are off to a winning start to the season, posting a 4-0 record in the early going. This is a team that has long been known for its offensive prowess, and while they ae scoring points this season, it is the defense that has been leading the way through the opening 4 games. After giving up 31 points to Florida State in a 36-31 win in Week 1, the Broncos defense has shut the door, surrendering an average of just 12 PPG through the next 3 games.

The offense is still firing, averaging 31.3 PPG, but that number was hurt a little in a 14-7 win over Marshall a couple of weeks ago. Boise State have gone 11-1 SU in their last 12 games, which includes winning 5 of their last 6 on the road. In their last 11 Week 6 games, they have gone 10-1 ATS.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 31.25
  • Passing Yards: 322.50
  • Rushing Yards: 153.50
  • Yards per Play: 6.06
Defense
  • Points per Game: 16.75
  • Passing Yards: 157.25
  • Rushing Yards: 142.00
  • Yards per Play: 5.16

Why bet on the UNLV Rebels?

You always want to try and find some kind of edge for a team when you are studying games, but there are very few positives to be found when taking a closer look at the UNLV Rebels. The Rebels opened the season with a comfortable 56-23 win over Southern Utah, but it has been all downhill from there. They come into this one on a 3-game losing skid, which also includes a loss in conference play.

Boise State vs UNLV is not going to be a close one.

That run means that UNLV now has just 3 wins in their last 13 games. They are also winless versus the Broncos in 4 attempts, losing those games by an average of 24 PPG. They are just 1-9 SU in their last 10 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in Week 6.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 29.00
  • Passing Yards: 145.00
  • Rushing Yards: 243.00
  • Yards per Play: 5.73
Defense
  • Points per Game: 32.00
  • Passing Yards: 248.00
  • Rushing Yards: 178.67
  • Yards per Play: 5.45

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Boise State vs UNLV College Football Week 6 Betting Trends

  • Broncos are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games played in October
  • Broncos are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games played in week 6
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boise State’s last 9 games
  • Rebels are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference
  • Rebels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in week 6
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nevada-Las Vegas’ last 9 games at home

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Boise State vs UNLV

I don’t believe that there is any doubt that Boise State are going to win here. Instead, it’s all about deciding whether they will cover the spread or not. I think they do so rather comfortably in this one.

Score: Boise State Broncos 45 – UNLV Rebels 17

 

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