Colorado vs Utah College Football Lines Analysis

Posted by Kenny Bell on November 26, 2015 in

The Utah Utes may have had their College Football Playoff dreams dashed in recent weeks, but they clearly don’t have nearly as many problems as the reeling Colorado Buffaloes. The Utes will try to finish with a flourish when they host the Buffaloes in a Week 13 mismatch, but it remains to be seen whether they can cover the NCAA Football betting line as a whopping two-touchdown-plus home favorites. Let’s find out.

How To Bet The Buffaloes @ Utes College Football Odds & Game Info

When: Saturday, November 28, 2:30 PM ET
Where: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah
NCAAF Odds: Utah -16
Over/Under: 49

Betting on the Colorado Buffaloes (4-8 SU, 5-7 ATS)

The Buffaloes have lost four straight and seven of their last eight games including their 27-3 Week 12 loss against Washington State as a 14-point road dog. Quarterback Cade Apsay completed 26 of 40 passes for 238 yards, but failed to throw a touchdown pass while tossing two picks. Defensively, the Buffaloes gave up a season-high 332 passing yards in the loss while scoring just three points out of six drives that went into Cougars territory. “I guess I didn’t have them ready enough to play,” coach Mike MacIntyre said. “We had some opportunities to go down and score there early.”

Colorado was held to its lowest point total since being shut out by Stanford 48-0 in 2012. “This sport right here, you got to have a dog in you and I feel like today we didn’t go out there with that mentality,” running back Phillip Lindsay said.

Betting on the Utah Utes (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS)

Utah is coming off 17-9 loss against UCLA as a Pick ‘Em last weekend and come into this contest riding a two-game losing streak. Making matters worse is the fact that the Utes lost their best player when gifted running back Devontae Booker had knee surgery to repair a torn meniscus last week. While the Utes’ championship hopes have been dashed, head coach Kyle Whittingham has been pleased with his program’s progress. “To finish as (Pac-12 South) co-champions and potentially 10-game win season, that’s the high-water mark since we’ve been in the conference,” Whittingham said. “This is a big step forward if we can accomplish some things down the road. Either way we’re sitting at 8-3 and tied for first. It’s incremental progress for our program.”

Quarterback Travis Wilson was limited to 126 passing yards in the loss although backup running back Joe Williams filled in nicely for Booker by rushing for 121 yards on 26 carries. “You just move on,” Whittingham said. ” … It’s just next man up. There’s really no way you can adjust other than next guy up’s got to pick up the slack as well as everybody around them upping their level of play. Everybody do their part.” The Utes average 31.2 points per game and allow 22.5 per contest defensively.

Buffaloes vs Utes Game Analysis

The Colorado Buffaloes looked so pitiful in last week’s loss that I just don’t see them covering the spread in this contest no matter how hard I try. The Buffaloes are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games against a team with a winning home record, so they have a long history of failing to cover the spread on the road. The good news for Colorado betting backers is the fact that the Buffs are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings against Utah while the Utes have gone 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an SU loss and an identical 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.

I say forget about the key trends for this contest and back Utah to get the blowout win over a Colorado team that has already packed it in after losing two straight.
My Betting Pick: Utah 35 Colorado 17