The winless Central Florida Knights will look to pull off the arguably the biggest upset of the 2015 NCAA Football betting season when they host the South Florida Bulls in a Week 13 matchup that looks more like a ‘lock’ outcome waiting to happen. Now, let’s find out if the Knights have what it takes to take down South Florida and get their first win of the season.
— UCF Knights (@UCFKnights) November 24, 2015
NCAAF Betting & Game Preview: South Florida at Central Florida
When: Thursday, November 26, 7:30 PM ET
Where: Bright House Networks Stadium, Orlando, Florida
NCAAF Odds: OFF
Betting on the Central Florida Knights (0-11 SU, 2-9 ATS)
The Knights are coming off a resounding a 44-7 beatdown at the hands of East Carolina the last time out and never came close to covering the spread as a 16-point home underdog. Quarterback Justin Holman completed 9 of 17 passes for 110 yards with one touchdown and one interception, but the Knights allowed ECU signal-caller Blake Kemp to throw for 448 yards and four touchdowns in the loss while losing the turnover battle 3-0.
Central Florida has been held to 10 points or less in three of their last four games while failing to score more than seven points in two of their last three games. The Knights are ranked a pitiful 125th in scoring (14.9 ppg) and equally disturbing 114th in points allowed (37.1 ppg).
Betting on the South Florida Bulls (7-4 SU, 8-2-1 ATS)
The Bulls have won three straight games including their 65-27 blowout of Cincinnati as a 1-point home favorite on Saturday. Quarterback Quinton Flowers completed 9 of 15 passes for 165 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions while running back Marlon Mack rushed for 106 yards and one score on just 11 carries.
Defensively, South Florida picked off four passes and recovered two forced fumbles. The Bulls are ranked 50th in scoring (32.5 ppg) and 40th in points allowed (22.7 ppg).
Bulls vs Knights Game Analysis
I couldn’t bring myself to bet on the Central Florida Knights with someone else’s money… that’s really how bad they are. South Florida has gone 6-1 SU and ATS in its last seven games and a consistent 4-2 ATS in its last six games on the road Conversely, Central Florida is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games, 2-5 ATS in their last seven conference games and a winless 0-6 ATS in their last six home games. With South Florida going 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a losing record, I say it’s a foregone conclusion that the Bulls win and win going away.
The bottom line for this matchup is that the Knights are going down and they’re going down hard!
My Betting Pick: South Florida 38 Central Florida 10