California vs Oregon 2019 College Football Week 6 Lines & Analysis.

California vs Oregon 2019 College Football Week 6 Lines & Analysis

Written by on October 4, 2019

The process that the College Football Playoff Committee uses to decide the top 4 is not totally known, but what we do know is that it is generally the teams in the Power 5 who are going to get a serious look. With that in mind, there is real value in winning a conference championship, although the dog eat dog nature of conference play very often sees every team essentially take themselves out of playoff contention. After all, we also know that there is very little chance of making it into the postseason if a team loses 2 or more games.

The PAC 12 Conference has been down for a couple of years and is already looking to be in trouble again this season, with every team sitting with at least one loss. There is absolutely zero margin for error for any of the teams sitting with one loss right now, which essentially makes this game a playoff elimination type of deal. The Ducks are an overwhelming NCAAF betting favorite at home, with the bookies liking them by 18.5 points. The point total for this one has been set at 46 ½.

California vs Oregon 2019 College Football Week 6 Lines & Analysis

Weather Forecast

  • Sunny: 19°C/66°F
  • Humidity: 52%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 14%
  • Wind: 9 mph N
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why bet on the California Golden Bears?

The California Golden Bears saw their season get off to a rather surprising 4-0 start, with that run including a signature win over the #14 Washington Huskies. That run had some people talking about this team potentially taking a run at a PAC 12 Championship, but a 24-17 loss at home to Arizona State last weekend has now put that in doubt.

Another loss here would almost certainly take them out of the running, as there is really no coming back from 2 conference losses. Their chances here don’t look very good, especially when you consider that you need to go back to 2007 to find the last time that California won in Oregon. While they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, they have also failed to cover in each of their last 5 visits to Oregon.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 24.50
  • Hits: 212.75
  • Walks: 158.50
  • Strike Outs: 5.42

Defense

  • Runs: 17.25
  • Hits: 225.25
  • Walks: 141.25
  • Strike Outs: 4.87

Why bet on the Oregon Ducks?

You can look at the 1-loss Oregon Ducks and immediately count them out in the race for the top 4, but that might be a mistake. Let’s not forget that their lone loss of the season came in Week 1 against an Auburn Tigers team that is now sitting ranked at #7 in the nation. Still, Oregon really does need to win out, including taking the PAC 12 Conference Championship Game, in order to get in.

California vs Oregon should be an easy one for the Ducks.

The feeling with this team is that their window of opportunity is closing, especially with QB Justin Herbert almost certainly leaving for the NFL this coming offseason. The Ducks are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games and have seen the UNDER hit 6 times in that 7-game stretch.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 38.50
  • Hits: 304.00
  • Walks: 154.75
  • Strike Outs: 6.58

Defense

  • Runs: 10.50
  • Hits: 160.00
  • Walks: 102.75
  • Strike Outs: 3.89

California vs Oregon College Football Week 6 Betting Trends

  • Golden Bears are 6-13 SU in their last 19 games played in October
  • Golden Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California’s last 5 games this season
  • Ducks are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
  • Ducks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in week 6
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon’s last 5 games played on a Saturday

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for California vs Oregon

For me, the Oregon Ducks are still the best team in the conference. This is a tough one, to be sure, and there are some tougher games still to come, but they could well run the table. I think that potential run begins with them winning and covering the spread on Saturday night.

Score: California Golden Bears 17 – Oregon Ducks 42

 

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