Florida Tops Tennessee as College Football Week 3 Betting Favorite

Posted by Eric Williams on Tuesday,September 12, 2017 9:03, EST in

No. 23 Tennessee is off to an encouraging 2-0 start while No. 25 Florida is still looking for their first win of the season after dropping their opener against another nationally-ranked title contender. Now, heading into their  College Football Week 3 SEC clash, bettors everywhere need to know if the visiting Volunteers can get the road upset against the Gators. Just know this game is likely to be moved as a result of Hurricane Irma.

“Now that the storm has passed through Gainesville, the University of Florida is working with local authorities to assess the effect of the storm on the campus and the Gainesville community, at the same time ensuring the appropriate security and local officials are available to host a game,” said SEC Commissioner Greg Sankey.

As of now, the Gators are favorites heading into Week 3, even though they haven’t won a game this season. But the Vols have and are already 2-0. So, let’s see if these NCAAF odds can really benefit Florida this Saturday.

No. 23 Tennessee at No. 25 Florida


When: Saturday, September 16, 2017 at 3:30 PM ET
Where: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Florida
TV: CBS
Radio: FM 99.1 (Tennessee) / FM 103.7 (Florida)
Live StreamWatchESPN
College Football Week 3 Odds: Florida -5.5

Why Bet the Tennessee Volunteers Odds at +5.5?

23rd-ranked Tennessee remained unbeaten by spanking Indiana State 42-7 on Saturday despite narrowly failing to cover the spread as a huge 36.5-point home favorite. One week after beating Georgia Tech in a thrilling 42-41 overtime victory, Tennessee quarterback Quinten Dormady completed 13 of 18 passes for 194 yards with two touchdowns and one interception to lead Tennessee to the win while running back Carlis Fils-aime ran for 41 yards and two additional scores in the win.

“Whenever I’m on the field, all my worries just go away,” said Fils-aime, who reached the end zone on two of his three carries. “It’s all about now, living in the moment.”

After Ty Chandler returned the opening kickoff for a 91-yard touchdown, Fils-aime scored on a 4-yard plunge and a 30-yard scamper to put Tennessee ahead 21-0.
“It was a great way to start,” Tennessee coach Butch Jones said. “We talked about starting fast, and obviously we were able to start fast.”

College Football Week 3 SU Picks and Winning Predictions

Team Statistics

Offense:

  • Average Score For: 42
  • Total Yards: 379
  • Rush Yards: 154
  • Passing Yards: 228

Defense:

  • Average Score Against: 24
  • Total Yards: 434
  • Rush Yards: 328
  • Passing Yards: 106

Why Bet the Florida Gators Odds at -5.5?

No. 25 Florida got overpowered in their 33-17 Week 1 loss to No. 7 Michigan as redshirt freshman quarterback Feleipe Franks started and went 5-of-9 for 75 yards before giving way to Notre Dame transfer Malik Zaire who entered midway through the third quarter and completed 9-of-17 passes for 106 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions.

“We needed to shake up the batting order a little bit,” McElwain said. “I thought Malik would come in and give us a change of pace at that point when we were still in the ballgame.”

As a matter of fact, the Gators were limited to a mind-boggling 11 rushing yards on 27 total carries in the loss and are still looking for their first offensive touchdown of the season seeing as how their two touchdowns against Michigan came on interception returns by Duke Dawson and CJ Henderson. Defensively, the Gators allowed Michigan to rush for 215 yards in the loss.

“It’s gonna hurt, and if it doesn’t, then something is wrong,” Florida coach Jim McElwain said. “We have a lot more to play. I like this team, I like the guys on this team. I think we have a chance to grow and I believe we will.”

Are the Gators a safe bet against the Volunteers in College Football Week 3?

Team Statistics

Offense:

  • Average Score For: 17
  • Total Yards: 192
  • Rush Yards: 11
  • Passing Yards: 181

Defense:

  • Average Score Against: 33
  • Total Yards: 433
  • Rush Yards: 215
  • Passing Yards: 218

Series History

  • Total Meetings: 46
  • First Meeting: October 28th, 1916. Tampa, Florida
  • Last Meeting: September 24th, 2016. Knoxville, Tennessee
  • All-Time Series: Florida 26-20-0
  • Largest Margin of Victory: Tennesse 45-3- (1990)
  • Longest Win Streak: Florida 11 (2005-2015)
  • Current Win Streak: Tennesee 1 (2016)

Latest Betting Trends

  • Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 5 games on the road
  • Florida is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
  • Florida is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida’s last 8 games

Expert College Football Week 3 Pick and Prediction

I wasn’t very impressed with Florida following their Week 1 loss against Michigan. And taking into consideration their history and results, it seems like the Volunteers won’t have a problem continuing their streak against the Gators. It just hasn’t been a good start for them and it won’t be easy to get back on track. Heading into their Week 3 matchup, I’m going to advise you to back the Tennessee Volunteers to get the ATS cover as near touchdown road dogs – by winning outright against the Gators!

College Football Week 3 Pick: Tennessee +5.5