Florida vs Florida State Week 13 Expert Betting Pick

Posted by Jordan Walterss on July 29, 2016 in

Imagine this scenario: Florida State is unbeaten and the ACC Atlantic Division champion and Florida is unbeaten and the SEC East Division champion when the Seminoles and Gators face off in the regular-season finale this season. It’s possible, especially on FSU’s side. Thus a loss in this game could wreck one team’s hopes for the College Football Playoff even before playing in its conference title game. FSU should be favored against UF on NCAA football lines.

How To Bet FSU vs. Florida NCAA Football Odds & TV Info

When: Saturday, Nov. 26, TBA
Where: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
Stream: SEC Football Online
Radio: Florida / Florida State
Opening NCAAF Lines: TBA

Florida vs Florida State Historic Betting Trends

Florida State beat Florida an embarrassing 27-2 in Gainesville last year. Noles tailback Dalvin Cook rushed for 183 yards and two touchdowns in 14th-ranked Florida State's rout over No. 10 Florida. Cook was held to just 33 yards through three quarters, but by then the Seminoles had a two-score lead. The Gators totaled just 262 yards of offense. QB Treon Harris completed just 19 of 38 passes for 134 yards. UF’s longest pass completion of the night went for 15 yards. The Gators failed to score on three trips inside the FSU 20-yard line. The Florida kicker missed both of his field-goal attempts.

The Gators didn’t score until Cece Jefferson sacked FSU quarterback Sean Maguire and forced a fumble midway into the fourth quarter. The ball squirted around the field as players tried to recover it until Maguire fell on the ball in the end zone for a Gators safety with 8:58 left in the game. Florida barely averted its first shutout since losing 16-0 at home against Auburn in 1988.

FSU shut out the Gators in the first half for the third consecutive time in The Swamp, holding a 41-0 advantage before halftime over that span. The Seminoles led 14-0 at the half in 2011, 17-0 in 2013, and 10-0 last year.

Why Bet Florida State?

The Seminoles have defeated Florida five of the last six years and won their third consecutive road game over the Gators for the first time in school history.

FSU brings back every offensive starter from last year’s team, which is almost unheard of, led by the Heisman Trophy candidate Cook. Some expect the Seminoles to reach the College Football Playoff, especially if they are able to settle on one of three contenders at quarterback. Former starter Sean Maguire is competing with Deondre Francois and Malik Henry to run Coach Jimbo Fisher’s high-powered offense.

Five Florida football players were named to the 2016 All-Atlantic Coast Conference Preseason Football Team. The Seminole contingent is led by Cook, who garnered by far the most votes of any running back. Junior left tackle Roderick Johnson and junior receiver Travis Rudolph round out the offense, while senior defensive end DeMarcus Walker and sophomore safety Derwin James represent FSU on thedefense. Rudolph is one of three receivers who caught at least 57 passes in 2015. Walker had 10.5 sacks in 2015 and is part of a solid front.

Why Bet Florida?

If you believe in sophomore walk-on QB Luke Del Rio. That’s because last year’s two starters, Will Grier and Harris, have both transferred. Grier opened last year as the starter and played well, but in October the NCAA suspended Grier for one calendar year after a positive test for a performance-enhancing substance. Before Grier’s decision to transfer, Florida intended to appeal whether Grier would have to sit out any games this fall. He’s now at West Virginia and will sit out this year.

Harris also has decided to transfer, looking for a fresh start after two tumultuous seasons in Gainesville. He is the seventh quarterback to leave Florida in the last four years, following Jacoby Brissett (North Carolina State), Tyler Murphy (Boston College), Max Staver (Houston Baptist), Jeff Driskel (Louisiana Tech), Skyler Mornhinweg (Columbia) and Grier. It’s unknown where Harris will land. His time in Gainesville included three suspensions and nearly as many turnovers as touchdown passes. Harris completed 50 percent of his passes for 1,676 yards as a sophomore, with nine touchdowns and six interceptions. He was expected to move to receiver this year.

Del Rio, the son of Jaguars coach Jack Del Rio, originally signed with Oregon State but transferred to Florida and walked on to the football team. He recently was placed on scholarship. It was all but inevitable once Del Rio emerged from spring practice as the Gators’ most readily apparent option for a starting quarterback this fall. Graduate transfer Austin Appleby, formerly of Purdue, and a few freshmen will vie with Del Rio for the job. If the Florida spring game was any indication, however, Del Rio will be tough to beat out. He led a 44-6 win in the Orange and Blue game, completing 10 of 11 passes for 176 yards and two touchdowns.

My Expert Pick

Florida State is my pick to play for the national title and they are the pick here on NCAA football odds.