Florida vs Georgia NCAA Football Betting Preview

Posted by Alex Murphy on Saturday,October 31, 2015 5:36, EST in

The 11th-ranked Florida Gators are favored to beat the Georgia Bulldogs in their Week 8 SEC showdown, but after last week’s results for both teams, covering the CollegeFootball spread could be tougher than expected. Now, let’s find out if Florida can hold on to their narrow four-team playoff hopes when they visit Georgia in their intriguing Week 9 SEC showdown!

How To Bet The Gators vs Bulldogs NCAA Football Odds, TV & Game Info

Where: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, FL
When: Saturday, October 31, 3:30 PM ET
TV Broadcast: CBS
NCAAF Odds: Florida -3
Over/Under: 46

Why Bet on the Florida Gators (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS)

Florida had its seven-game winning streak snapped in their 35-28 loss to LSU in Week 7, but the Gators can maintain their quest to reach the four-team playoff by beating the Bulldogs in this contest. The Gators rallied back from a 28-14 halftime deficit to tie the game at 28, but LSU was not to be denied as kicker Trent Domingue caught a lateral pass on a fake field goal and took it 16 yards to the house for the game-winning touchdown to lift the sixth-ranked Tigers to victory. “I like the fight that we played with,” said Florida tight end Jake McGee.

Domingue bobbled the ball twice before securing it and running untouched into the end zone. “How many bobbles was it?” LSU head coach Les Miles asked afterward. “My heart was fluttering with each bobble.” Florida head coach Jim McElwain suffered his first loss at the SEC football factory, but praised Miles for his trickery. “That was a pretty awesome call by them,” McElwain said. “They were in their overload, just like we thought. We should have been high (protecting for the fake) instead of flat. Give them credit. It was a heckuva call, a gutsy call. But you know what? It’s kind of a badge of honor. They’ve got to fake one to beat us. That’s all right.”

Florida quarterback Treon Harris completed 17 of 32 passes for 271 yards and two touchdowns and the Gators won the turnover battle in defeat.

Why Bet on the Georgia Bulldogs (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS)

Georgia didn’t look particularly good the last time out but managed to snap their two-game losing streak by squeaking past the Missouri Tigers 9-6 in Week 7, despite never coming close to covering the spread as a 14.5-point home favorite. The Bulldogs shut out the Tigers over the second half and used an overpowering defensive effort to keep the Tigers from scoring a touchdown.

Georgia’s defense held the Tigers to just six first downs and 164 total yards for the game and recorded their first win without scoring a touchdown in since 1995. Quarterback Greyson Lambert had a respectable game in completing 23 of 32 passes for 178 yards and one interception. The Bulldogs won the time of possession battle emphatically by keeping the rock for almost 39 pull minutes.

My Expert Game Analysis and Betting Prediction

Let me get right to the point by saying that I really like Florida to get the outright road win and accompanying ATS cover against a Georgia team that has both, underachieved this season and one that will be without its best player in injured running back Nick Chubb. Georgia had lost two straight prior to beating Missouri in their last contest, but to be honest about it, the Bulldogs’ narrow win made me think even less of them coming into this matchup.

The Gators are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and a bankroll-boosting 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Conversely, the Bulldogs a disappointing 1-4 ATS in their L/5 conference games and an identical 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an SU win.

With the Gators going 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings against the Dogs, I say play Florida to win and cash in!

My Pick: Florida 24 Georgia 20