Fresno State vs Boise State NCAA Football Week 11 Spread & Preview

Fresno State vs Boise State NCAA Football Week 11 Spread & Preview

Written by on November 7, 2018

Those of us who love to watch and wager on football are somewhat pre-programmed to do the bulk of our viewing and wagering on Saturday and Sunday. After all, that is when the majority of the games go off, but we should also know that there are some betting opportunities that exist outside of those regular days. The NFL has its primetime games, while college football will slip in a few games on Thursday and Friday for your viewing pleasure. We have a good one set to go on Friday night, with the Fresno State Bulldogs and the Boise State Broncos ready to get our weekend started right.

If you are going to be enjoying an adult beverage while you watch this one, fear not, you drink has not been spiked, the field really is blue. Yes, this game will take place on the iconic blue turf at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, with the home team in as a slight 3-point underdog. The point total for this game has been set at 54.

Fresno State vs Boise State NCAA Football Week 11 Spread & Preview

NCAA Football Week 11 SU Picks

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 3°C/37°F
  • Humidity: 43%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 1%
  • Wind: 12 mph W
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why bet on the Fresno State Bulldogs?

After losing to Minnesota in Week 2 of the season, the Bulldogs have been perfect, reeling off 7 straight wins to get to 8-1 on the year. That record puts Fresno State at the top of the Mountain West Conference, with a win here all but clinching the West Division. To claim that title, though, they are going to need to go through the current conference champions in their own building.

The problem for the Bulldogs is that they have just 2 wins against the Broncos in their last 10 meetings, which includes going winless in their last 5 visits to the blue field in Boise. You get the sense that this team is a little different, though, as they have been great all year, going 8-1 ATS and covering in 4 of their 5 road games this season. The Bulldogs are on a streak that has seen them cover the spread in each of their last 7 games.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 40.44
  • Total Yards: 431.34
  • Rush Yards: 150.56
  • Passing Yards: 280.78
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 12.33
  • Total Yards: 308.67
  • Rush Yards: 128.78
  • Passing Yards: 179.89

Why bet on the Boise State Broncos?

The Broncos are likely well aware that they have zero margins for error the rest of the way. They are 4-1 in conference play, which puts them a game back of Utah State in the Mountain Division. This is a team that is the defending conference champion, though, so they certainly have the experience to work through this and get back to the top of the division.

Fresno State vs Boise State is going to be a battle.

There are a couple of things that are going against them here, though, starting with the fact that they are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games, and that they are just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games at home. They have won 10 of the last 12 meetings with the Bulldogs, which is definitely a positive.  

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 38.00
  • Total Yards: 468.67
  • Rush Yards: 149.78
  • Passing Yards: 318.89

Defense

  • Average Score Against: 23.67
  • Total Yards: 362.44
  • Rush Yards: 128.00
  • Passing Yards: 234.44

NCAA Football Week 11 ATS Picks

Fresno State vs Boise State NCAA Football Week 11 Betting Trends

  • Fresno State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State’s last 5 games
  • Boise State is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games at home
  • Boise State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Boise State’s last 25 games at home

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction for Fresno State vs Boise State

This is a match-up that is definitely worth watching, as it’s one that is going to have a huge impact on the conference standings. I am taking the road team to win and cover here, with the point total creeping just OVER.

Score: Fresno State Bulldogs 31 – Boise State Broncos 24