Georgia is NCAAF Lines Favorites vs. Tennessee in Week 5

Georgia is NCAAF Lines Favorites vs. Tennessee in Week 5

Written by on September 26, 2017

There is a lot of talk about the decline of the SEC this season, with many people believing that there is no-one who can touch the Alabama Crimson Tide in this conference. While it is certainly true that the SEC is not the powerhouse it was just a few short years ago, it may be a little too early to crown Alabama conference champions, as the NCAAF lines for Week 5 indicates.Sure, we are only 4 weeks into the season, but I think it’s fair to suggest that a legitimate contender to the SEC crown is rising. That team would be the Georgia Bulldogs, as they have been nothing short of brilliant through their first 4 games of the season, and that’s why they are in as a 7 point road favorites for this one.The Bulldogs are now the prohibitive favorites to win the SEC East, but there are a couple of opponents that they will need to put away before they can head to Atlanta for the Championship Game. One of the teams they need to take down is Tennessee, which is why the trip to Neyland Stadium this coming Saturday is so important.

Georgia Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers NCAAF Lines Analysis

When: Saturday, September 30 at 3:30 PM ESTWhere: Neyland Stadium, KnoxvilleTV: CBSRadio: 750 AM (Georgia) / 1490 AM (Tennessee)Live Stream: SEC NetworkNCAAF Lines: Georgia -7

Mississippi State at Auburn Odds, Preview & Betting Pick

Recent Head to Head

Record: Georgia Leads 6-4Score: Georgia 30.20 / Tennessee 29.90Rush Yards: Georgia 172.80 / Tennessee 117.80Pass Attempts: Georgia 30.7 / Tennessee 33.3Completion Percentage: Georgia 58.63% / Tennessee  59.76%Passing Yards: Georgia 224.80 / Tennessee 261.1Total Yards: Georgia 397.6 / Tennessee 378.9Turnovers: Georgia 1.4 / Tennessee 1.6

Why consider the Bulldogs NCAAF Lines?

The Bulldogs were consistently good under Mark Richt, but the knock on his teams was that they always came up short in the big games. Last year, the first under new head coach Kirby Smart, was a down year for the Dawgs, as Smart made the first moves in recruiting and setting up his system. It appears that his efforts have paid off, as the Bulldogs look like a legitimate contender. They have had two massive games this season, and have delivered the goods in both, winning on the road at Notre Dame in Week 2, and then destroying Mississippi State between the hedges last weekend.The Georgia defense looks totally dominant, and sophomore QB Jake Fromm, who was asked to step in after Jacob Eason went down in Week 1, is becoming more comfortable with each passing week. Georgia is 3-1 ATS this season, and while they have lost back to back games against the Volunteers, they are certainly favorites to break out of that winless streak. Prior to those two losses, Georgia had won 5 in a row versus Tennessee.

Team Statistics

Offense

Average Score For: 31Total Yards: 389.25Rush Yards: 223.25 Passing Yards: 166

Defense

Average Score Against: 11.5Total Yards: 269.5Rush Yards: 97.5Passing Yards: 172

Why consider the Volunteers NCAAF Lines?

Tennessee may be coming into this game with a 3-1 record, but all is not well in Knoxville. Fans are becoming increasingly dissatisfied with coach Butch Jones and their team, with the breaking point coming in a 17-13 win over a much inferior Massachusetts Minutemen last weekend. The coach seems unable to settle on a starter at the QB position, and it can be argued that the efficiency of the offense has been hampered because of this.The NCAAF Betting Odds are against Tennessee in Week 5.The Vols will once again likely lean on John Kelly and the running game, but how much joy will they get against a Georgia D that has been suffocating through the first 4 weeks? The good news for the Volunteers is that they have won their last 5 home games, and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Bulldogs. Of the last 9 meetings between these two, the OVER has come up 6 times.

Team Statistics

Offense

Average Score For: 30.25Total Yards: 381.25Rush Yards: 156.50Passing Yards: 224.75

Defense

Average Score Against: 21.75Total Yards: 382.75Rush Yards: 242.25Passing Yards: 140.5

Latest NCAAF Lines Trends

  • The total went UNDER in 9 of Georgia’s last 12 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee’s last 5 games when playing Georgia
  • Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • Tennessee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Georgia
  • Georgia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

A loss for Tennessee here could very well signal the end of their push for the SEC East crown, so you get the feeling that the pressure is all on them. Confidence is high in Georgia, and they are coming into this meeting on a real roll. This is a game that I think the Bulldogs win going away.Score: Georgia Bulldogs 33 – Tennessee Volunteers 17
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