Are the TCU Horned Frogs the best pick in this match up?

Kansas State vs TCU NCAA Football Betting Guide

Written by on October 10, 2015

NCAA Football Betting News
Heisman Trophy candidate Trevone Boykin and the explosive TCU Horned Frogs will look to stay on track for a berth in the four-team playoff when they visit the Kansas State Wildcats on Saturday. Now fans, let’s find out if the nation’s No. 2 team can both, avoid the big upset and cover the college football betting lines against a dangerous K-State team in their intriguing Week 6 Big 12 battle.

How To Bet the Horned Frogs @ Wildcats NCAA Football Odds, TV & Game Info

When: Saturday, October 10, 7:30 PM ET Where: Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium, Manhattan, Kansas NCAAF Odds: TCU-9 Total: 63.5 TV: FOX

Kansas State Wildcats

Kansas State is coming off a narrow 36-34 loss against No. 19 Oklahoma State in Week 5, but managed to cover the spread as a 7-point road loss. K-State has topped the 30-point plateau in each of their four games this season and rank a solid 43rd in scoring (34.2 ppg). Defensively, the Wildcats allow just 18.0 points per game to rank 25th in the country, but it should be know that K-State has given up at least 33 points in each of their last two games and let Oklahoma State quarterback Mason Rudolph to torch them for 437 passing yards and three touchdowns last weekend.

TCU Horned Frogs

TCU is absolutely explosive on offense and has arguably the nation’s best quarterback on their side in Trevone Boykin. The Horned Frogs’ dual-threat signal-caller set a school record for career touchdown passes after tossing five in TCU’s 50-7 annihilation of Texas last weekend. The senior Heisman candidate completed 20 of 35 passes for 332 yards and the aforementioned five TD passes while rushing for an additional 52 yards on seven carries. “Our ultimate goal was to get to 5-0, and next week, it’ll be to get to 6-0,” Boykin said. “We’re all just out there trying to have fun, and at the end of the day, that’s what it’s mainly about. TCU ranks second in the nation in scoring (50.8 ppg) and limit their opponents to a respectable 24.0 points per game defensively (68th). Even with all of the glitz and glamour surrounding their program these days, head coach Gary Patterson said his focus is on taking it one game at a time.  “I’m not trying to be a playoff team just yet,” said Patterson, who is ironically, a Kansas State alum. “I’m trying to win the next ball game. I just want to win game six. I’m not going to lose perspective. I was the guy that got left out last year, so right now that can’t be the final goal.”

Game Analysis:

I fully expect the TCU Horned Frogs to win this contest and cover the spread against a very good K-State team that just doesn’t have the defense to stop Trevone Boykin or elite wide receiver Josh Doctson. Kansas State almost certainly won’t get blown out of the water like Texas did last weekend, but I think the Wildcats are going down by double-digits at the very least. 58 percent of the betting public likes TCU to cover the spread and I can see why. I know the Horned Frogs are just 1-4 ATS in their last five road games, but TCU has also gone 10-3 ATS in their last 13 conference games and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following an SU win. The K-State Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games and an encouraging 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games against a team with a winning record, but I’m thinking the spread for this Week 6 matchup is just a tad too low for the Cats to cover. My Pick: TCU 38 K-State 24