Kentucky Vs Florida Expert Analysis - NCAAF Betting

Kentucky Vs Florida Expert Analysis – NCAAF Betting

Written by on November 27, 2020

The sixth-ranked Florida Gators will look to extend their winning ways while taking another step toward reaching the SEC championship game when they host longtime conference rival Kentucky in their Week 13 matchup on Saturday. With the Wildcats looking to pull off the outright upset in this annual meeting, let’s find out where the best college football betting value lies in this affair so you can bet on their NCAAF odds.

College Football Odds and Predictions – Kentucky at No. 6 Florida

Kentucky Wildcats (3-5) Vs Florida Gators (6-1)

  • When: Saturday, Nov. 28, 2020 at 12:00 PM ET
  • Where: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Why Bet On Kentucky

There are some good reasons to believe Kentucky can cover the huge spread in this Week 13 matchup. The Wildcats have split their last six games after opening the 2020 campaign with consecutive losses. Kentucky should be hungry after suffering an embarrassing 63-3 blowout loss against top-ranked Alabama on Saturday that represented the third-worst defeat in school history since 1950.

Still, Kentucky has some hopes coming into this affair with each of the last three meetings against Florida – and five of the last six overall – being decided by eight points or less. A year ago, Kentucky put up a great effort before falling 29-21 at home. In 2018, the Wildcats stunned the Gators 27-16 to cash in as a whopping 24.5-point road dog.

Better yet, Kentucky should have some key players back for this affair after playing last week’s contest against Alabama without several, including leading rusher Chris Rodriguez, who has rushed for a team-high 562 yards and six touchdowns. Still, junior defensive end Joshua Paschal was not pleased with last week’s lackluster effort.

“This is not acceptable for us. We know that as players, as a whole football team, as a whole organization,” Paschal said.

“As leaders, we are going to put it on the young guys, so the young guys know that this isn’t acceptable, this is not who we are, this won’t happen again.”

Why Bet On No. 6 Florida

Florida is looking great right now as they come into this affair riding a four-game winning streak that includes a relatively ho-hum, 38-17 smackdown of Vanderbilt last weekend. Heisman Trophy-contending quarterback Kyle Trask passed for 383 yards and three touchdowns in the win.

Trask will have his top target back in action after star tight end Kyle Pitts (24 catches, 414 yards, eight TDs) missed last week’s matchup against Vandy.

“He’s such a playmaker, he’s such a leader,” said Gators head coach Dan Mullen. “The matchup problem he causes defenses is great to have him back with us.”

Expert Analysis and Prediction

Florida only needs to win two of its last three games to secure a berth in the SEC championship game, so the Gators will be motivated to get it done in this matchup. Florida has gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 conference games.

Kentucky has gone 7-1 ATS in its last eight games against a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. With the favorite in this rivalry has going 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings, I like Florida to narrowly cover the chalk as a near, three-touchdown favorite!

Pick: Florida 45 Kentucky 21


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