Western Kentucky vs South Florida Miami Bowl Odds Preview

Posted by Daniel Strum on Monday,December 14, 2015 11:54, EST in

Western Kentucky and South Florida will both look to finish their seasons with a college bowl game victory when they square off in their intriguing 2015 Miami Beach Bowl match up on Monday, Dec. 21 live from Marlins Park in Miami, Florida. South Florida head coach Willie Taggart will look to beat his alma mater and former football program after earning All-America honors as a quarterback at the school and coaching the Bulls for three seasons from 2011-2013. Now, let’s find out who’s going to cover the NCAA Football betting lines in what looks like one of the better match ups on the entire 2015 bowl game docket.

How To Bet the Hilltoppers vs Bulls Miami Bowl NCAA Football Odds, TV & Game Info

When: Monday, December 21, 2:30 PM ET
Where: Marlins Park, Miami, Florida
TV: ESPN
NCAAF Odds: Western Kentucky -3

Why Pick The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (11-2 SU, 7-5 ATS)

The Hilltoppers have won five straight and none of their last 10 games including their overwhelming 45-28 win over Southern Miss as a 7.5-point favorite in the Conference USA title game on Dec. 5. Western Kentucky is led by quarterback Brandon Doughty leads the Western Kentucky offense and has completed an incendiary 71.8 percent of his passes while finishing second in the nation in passing yards (4,594).

The Hilltoppers average a stellar 44.2 points per game while limiting their opponents to 25.2 points per game defensively.Wide receiver Taywan Taylor set a single-season school records in receptions (79) and receiving yards (1,363) this season and running back Anthony Wales needs just 14 yards to reach the 1,000-yard plateau.

Why Bet On The South Florida Bulls (8-4 SU, 9-2 ATS)

The Bulls have won four straight and seven of their last eight games, including their 44-3 smackdown of Central Florida on Nov. 26 in their regular season finale. South Florida looked absolutely fantastic in beating Temple, Cincinnati and the aforementioned Central Florida Knights by an insane combined score of 153-53. The Bulls are led by running back Alex Mack and the fleet-footed star needs just 102 yards to set a new school record.

Sophomore quarterback Quinton Flowers has completed 61.1 percent of his passes for 2,023 yards with 21 touchdowns and eight interceptions while adding 10 rushing scores and running for an average of 73.5 yards per game. South Florida is averaging 33.5 points per game while limiting their opponents to just 21.1 points per game defensively.

Our Expert Analysis, Pick and Predictions

Western Kentucky is absolutely explosive and has one of the best quarterbacks in the country, but I’m going to back the South Florida Bulls to get the ATS win after seeing them beat the hell out of their last three opponents.While Western Kentucky has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win, the Hilltoppers are also just 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games.

South Florida has gone 4-0 ATS in their last four games, 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an SU win and an encouraging 4-1 ATS in their last five bowl games. South Florida has gotten hot at just the right time, making them my pick for the upset in the 2015 Miami Beach Bowl!

Key Betting Trends to Back Your Pick

  • Western Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Western Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Kentucky’s last 8 games
  • South Florida is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
  • South Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida’s last 6 games

My Pick: South Florida 42 Western Kentucky 38