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Louisiana Tech at LSU NCAA Football Week 4 Odds & Pick

Louisiana Tech at LSU NCAA Football Week 4 Odds

Written by on September 21, 2018

NCAA Football Betting News
Undefeated #6 LSU hosts interstate rival Louisiana Tech in an interesting SEC versus Conference-USA matchup on Saturday. LSU opened as a -21 favorite, but the odds have dipped to LSU -20.5. Does that mean the Tigers are in danger of losing ATS to the Bulldogs? Check out analysis, NCAAF odds, and a free pick!

Louisiana Tech at LSU NCAA Football Week 4 Odds & Pick

When: Saturday, Sep. 22 at 7:00 pm ET Where: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA TV: ESPNU Radio: TuneIn Live Stream: WatchESPN ATS Odds: LSU -20.5 (-110) Over/Under Total Odds: 51 (-110)

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 27°C/80°
  • Humidity: 80%
  • Precipitation: 7%
  • Wind: 4 mph SSE
  • Cloud Cover: 44%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Louisiana Tech is a good bet at +20.5?

LA Tech might have the perfect mix of offense and defense to keep it close versus one of the top teams in the nation. The Bulldogs average 42 points per while only allowing an average of 21.5. In their last game, LA Tech held opponent Southern to 17 points while scoring 54 points on their end. The Bulldogs covered a massive -34.5 spread by 2.5 points. If they play up to their potential versus favored LSU, they could hang with the Tigers.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 42
  • Total Yards: 526.5
  • Pass Yards: 318
  • Rush Yards: 208.5
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 21.5
  • Total Yards: 297
  • Pass Yards: 153.5
  • Rush Yards: 143.5

Why #6 LSU is a good bet at -20.5?

LSU’s already beaten two teams straight up as an against the spread dog, and they did it while polls had both teams ranked in the Top 10. LSU dominated then #9 Miami 33-13. Last Saturday, they demolished #7 Auburn 22-21. This is the first time since they won the National Championship with Matt Flynn under center that LSU has a quarterback that can control the flow of a football game. Joe Burrow hasn’t had a chance to truly show what he can do because LSU had to play perfect football to beat both Miami and Auburn. He should show what he can do on Saturday.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 28.7
  • Total Yards: 333.7
  • Pass Yards: 180
  • Rush Yards: 153.7
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 12.7
  • Total Yards: 308
  • Pass Yards: 215.3
  • Rush Yards: 92.7

NCAA Football Betting Trends for Louisiana Tech at #6 LSU

  • Louisiana Tech is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech’s last 6 games
  • LSU is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games
  • LSU is 6-1 SU in the last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LSU’s last 8 games

Louisiana Tech at #6 LSU Final Analysis

Although the line has dropped a full point from LSU -21.5 to LSU -20.5, most college football handicappers believe in the Tigers. It makes sense because while LSU has played great in 3 straight games, LA Tech struggled to beat South Alabama 30-26 in Week 1. There’s also the trend about the Bulldogs failing to play as well as they can after scoring 40 points in their previous game. LA Tech can put up points. Nobody can put up points versus LSU if the Tigers’ defense plays as well as it usually does. The bottom line is that if you back LA Tech, you’re saying that LSU bounces into a bad performance because they beat rival Auburn last week. That’s hope, not handicapping. I like the LSU Tigers to cover.  

NCAA Football Week 4 Pick: LSU -20.5

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