Memphis vs Auburn Birmingham Bowl Free Betting Pick

Posted by Alex Murphy on December 28, 2015 in

The Memphis Tigers will look to close out their 2015 campaign on a positive note by pulling off the college football odds ‘upset’ over an Auburn Tigers team that also wants to finish strong after a seriously trying season. Now, let’s find out why the 2015 Birmingham Bowl, which takes place on Wednesday, December 30 at 12:00 PM ET, live from Legion Field, is offering as much value as any bowl game on the entire 2015 docket!

How To Bet the Memphis vs Auburn Birmingham Bowl NCAA Football Lines, TV & Game Info

When: Wednesday, December 30, 12:00 PM ET
Where: Legion Field, Birmingham, Alabama
Line: Auburn -2.5
O/U: 63

Memphis is a 2.5-point underdog to upset Auburn while the game’s Over/Under Total sits at 63 after opening at 64. Memphis is a +140 pick against the Moneyline while Auburn sits at -160.

Why Bet The Auburn Tigers Odds at -2.5

Because they play elite competition as an SEC resident and have more overall talent than Memphis! Auburn (6-6 SU, 3-9 ATS) has a boatload of talent but were one of the biggest bunch of underachievers in all of college football this season. The Tigers were on the wrong end of a 29-13 loss to Alabama in their regular season final and have alternated SU wins and losses over their last five games.

Once, highly-touted quarterback Jeremy Johnson struggled mightily before being replaced by freshman backup Sean White, who also struggled before going down with a knee injury. Johnson threw nine TD passes and seven interceptions in nine games while White tossed just one touchdown pass and two picks while appearing in a half-dozen games.  White is expected to make the start in this affair. The Tigers averaged a modest 27.2 points per game (77th) while allowing 27.3 points per game defensively (67th).

Why Bet The Memphis Tigers Odds at +2.5

Because they can score with anyone and will have the best player on the field in Paxton Lynch! Memphis (9-3 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) snapped a three-game slide that included losses against double-digit win teams in Navy, Houston and Temple by taking rolling all over SMU 63-0 in its regular season finale. Now the Tigers will look to gifted quarterback Paxton Lynch to lead them to victory one more time! The cerebral signal-caller and candidate to be the No. 1 overall pick in next year’s NFL Draft,  had a stellar campaign by completing an insane 69.0 percent of his passes for 3,670 yards with 28 touchdowns and just three interceptions.  Lynch tossed a whopping seven TD passes in the Tigers’ regular season finale.

Thanks mostly to their gifted quarterback, Memphis averaged a stellar 42.7 points per game to rank sixth in the nation. The Tigers allowed a respectable 27.0 points per game defensively (63rd) but comes into their 2015 finale without head coach Justin Fuente after the hot commodity head coach bolted to take the job at Virginia Tech and replace the legendary Frank Beamer.

Memphis did hire former Arizona State offensive coordinator Mike Norvell to a five-year contract to be the new coach, but interim coach Darrell Dickey will lead Memphis in the Birmingham Bowl.

My Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

Maybe it’s me, but I surprised that Auburn is favored in this contest in the very first place. Having said that, let me also say that I like the Memphis Tigers to get the ATS cover – by recording the outright win and 57 percent of the betting public agrees! Not only has Auburn been an inconsistent mess all season long, but the Tigers are a pitiful 0-8 ATS in their last eight non-conference games and 2-10 ATS in their last dozen games following an ATS loss.

While Memphis has gone 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game, Auburn is 3-10 ATS in their L/13 games against a team with a winning record and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss. Paxton Lynch leads the Memphis Tigers to the ‘upset’ win!

My final score prediction: Memphis 28 Auburn 21