Memphis vs Houston 2019 College Football Week 12 Odds, Preview & Pick

Memphis vs Houston 2019 College Football Week 12 Odds, Preview & Pick

Written by on November 14, 2019

This Saturday, Memphis hopes to keep pace with SMU and Navy in the AAC West by beating 3-6 Houston. The Tigers are big -10 ½ road favorites. Will Memphis win and cover? Or, will Houston manage a victory against the spread? Check out college football odds, analysis, and a free pick for Memphis versus Houston!

Memphis vs Houston 2019 College Football Week 12 Odds, Preview & Pick

  • When: Saturday, Nov. 16 at 3:30 pm ET
  • Where: TDCEU Stadium, Houston, TX
  • TV: ESPN 2
  • ATS Odds: Memphis -10 ½

Why Memphis Tigers are a good bet -10 ½?

Temple beat Memphis on Oct. 12. Other than that, the Tigers have a perfect straight up record. If the regular season ended today, the Tigers would be AAC West Champions. They beat Navy 35-23 and SMU 54-48. Memphis won’t let a chance to win the division slip from them. Because of that, they should not only beat Houston on Saturday but also cover the spread.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 475.4
  • Passing Yards: 290
  • Rushing Yards: 185.4
  • Points Scored: 41.1
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 394.8
  • Passing Yards: 216.2
  • Rushing Yards: 178.6
  • Points Allowed: 25.8

Why Houston Cougars are a good bet +10?

The Cougars have no shot of grabbing a bowl bid unless they win their final 3 games. Although there’s a chance the opposite happens, that Houston loses their final 3 games, they could play well enough to cover the spread in all 3. Houston has covered in their last couple of games versus 2 of the top teams in the American Athletic Conference. SMU beat them 34-31 while Houston was a +12 dog. Like SMU, Central Florida couldn’t cover against Houston either. The Knights beat the Cougars 44-29 as a -22 favorite. Memphis might win but Houston could keep this closer than the spread.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 410.8
  • Passing Yards: 198.9
  • Rushing Yards: 211.9
  • Points Scored: 30.7
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 460.6
  • Passing Yards: 289.6
  • Rushing Yards: 171
  • Points Allowed: 32.6

College Football Week 12 Betting Trends for Memphis vs Houston

  • Tigers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf
  • Memphis is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games versus a team with a losing home record
  • The total went OVER in 6 of Memphis’ last 6 games
  • Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win
  • Houston is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games against Memphis

Memphis vs Houston Final Betting Analysis

Memphis averages 41.1 points per game. On paper, Houston has no shot of keeping up with the Tigers’ offense. Not only that, but Houston allows over 32 points per on average, which means Memphis should score at will.

Even though that’s true, Memphis isn’t a great covering team on the road. They’re only 2-2 ATS this season in road game. The Tigers have gone 2-2 ATS in their last 2. Not to mention, they barely beat Tulsa 42-41 in their last road match up. Go with the Cougars to cover.

NCAAF Free Pick: Houston +10 ½

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