Memphis vs UCF 2018 AAC Championship Odds & Preview

Memphis vs UCF 2018 AAC Championship Odds & Preview

Written by on November 27, 2018

The Memphis Tigers travel to Orlando to take on the UCF Knights for the AAC Championship. Central Florida must battle the rival Tigers without starting quarterback McKenzie Milton. Milton’s out for the season after suffering a devastating knee injury. Will Milton’s injury open the doors for Memphis? Or, will UCF get past the injury and motor on to a victory and cover?

Memphis vs UCF 2018 AAC Championship Odds & Preview

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 1 at 3:30pm ET
  • Where: Spectrum Stadium, Orlando, FL
  • TV: ABC
  • Radio: Memphis / UCF
  • Live Stream: WatchESPN
  • ATS Odds: UCF -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under Total Odds: 70.5 (-110)

Weather Forecast

  • Chance of Rain: 24°C/76°F
  • Humidity: 72%
  • Precipitation: 52%
  • Wind: 9 mph SSE
  • Cloud Cover: 83%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Memphis is a good bet +3.5?

Memphis has been on a roll since two straight losses. The Tigers dropped a game to UCF, 30-31 on Oct. 13 before losing to SEC team Missouri 33-65 on Oct. 20.

Since the losses, Memphis has won 4 straight:  59-41 over East Carolina, 47-21 over Tulsa, 28-18 over SMU, and 52-31 over Houston. The Tigers are in a position to turn the tables on Central Florida in the AAC Championship.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 43.8
  • Total Yards: 530.2
  • Pass Yards: 254.3
  • Rush Yards: 275.9
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 29.5
  • Total Yards: 397.2
  • Pass Yards: 242.8
  • Rush Yards: 154.5

Why #9 UCF is a good bet -3.5?

Is UCF a safe bet to win the 2018 ACC Championship?

Central Florida continued their win streak in Week 13 even though they lost McKenzie Milton. UCF beat South Florida 38-10. They’ll feel Milton’s loss, but the impact might not be as bad as so many believe it will be.

Back-up quarterback Darriel Mack should find holes in Memphis’ defense. He’s 6’ 3” and 230 lbs. Mack will surprise and lead UCF to yet another AAC Championship trophy.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 43.1
  • Total Yards: 531.8
  • Pass Yards: 261.7
  • Rush Yards: 270.1
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 19.5
  • Total Yards: 409.3
  • Pass Yards: 197.5
  • Rush Yards: 211.8

NCAA Football Betting Trends for Memphis vs UCF

  • Memphis is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games
  • Memphis is 4-1 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Memphis’s last 5 games
  • UCF is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
  • UCF is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went UNDER in 7 of Central Florida’s last 8 games

Memphis vs UCF Final Analysis

Mack’s only completed 48.8% of his passes. However, against the South Florida Bulls in Week 13, Mack spelled Milton after the injury and rushed for 51 yards from 10 carries. He also threw for 81 yards even though he only completed 5-of-14.

That’s the story with Mack. He won’t necessarily beat Memphis with his arm. He most definitely can beat them with his legs. Milton’s injury is a big blow, but Central Florida might have found an advantage with Mack.

In the first game, Mack got 1 carry for -4 yards. UCF only beat Memphis by a point. In this game, with the offensive strategy around Mack’s rushing ability, Memphis could have a tougher time defending the Knights. Central Florida wins and covers.

NCAAF AAC Championship Pick: UCF -3.5  
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