Virginia @ Miami NCAA Football Betting Analysis

Posted by Daniel Strum on Friday,November 6, 2015 3:40, EST in

The Virginia Cavaliers (3-5) travel to South Florida this Saturday to take on the Miami Hurricanes (5-3) at the Sun Life Stadium in a Week 10 College Football odds showdown. Both programs are coming off victories in their previous games and are looking to move up in the ACC standings. Which of the two programs will win this crucial ACC matchup? Let’s find out, as we take a look at the online sportsbook preview prepared for you below.

How To Bet The Cavaliers @ Hurricanes NCAA Football Odds, TV & Game Info

Venue: Sun Life Stadium, Miami, FL
Date: Saturday, November 07, 2015
Time: 3:00 PM ET
TV: ESPN3

Betting on the Miami Hurricanes

The Hurricanes are coming off a controversial but pulsating 30-27 win over the No. 22-ranked Duke last weekend. All along, it appeared as if Duke was headed for the win after they scored a touchdown to go up 27-24 with less than 10 seconds left to play. However, Miami used an improbable eight-lateral kickoff return touchdown finished by DB Corn Elder to win the game 30-24 as the clock expired. The ACC later found that a number of mistakes were overseen by the game’s on-field officials, leading to their suspension. The win, however, stood in Miami’s favor, rekindling the Hurricanes’ hopes of staying in the mix for the divisional title race.

In that eventful win, Miami’s QB Malik Rosier completed 20 of his 29 passes for 272 yards with 2 TDs and one interception. RB Joseph Yearby also had a good game, carrying the ball 21 times for 82 yards, with WR Stacy Coley equally being impressive with 5 catches for 87 yards plus one touchdown.

Although Miami had 23 penalties for 194 yards against Duke last weekend, they were somehow able to pull off an incredible final play in the dyeing minutes of the game to grab this vital victory. Such an amazing display and show of fighting spirit from Elder will boost the defense’s confidence going forward after they were shutout 58-0 by Clemson a fortnight ago. To feature better against Virginia, the DB pair of Artie Burns and Deon Bush must up their game, staying solid against the sly Matt John and his troublesome Virginia offense.

Betting on the Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia did not get a terrific performance from QB Matt John in the team’s 27-21 win over the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets last week. John went 17/28 for 175 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT, missing a number of crucial throws in the game. However, the defense and the offensive ground game was able to make up for the offensive deficit, with RB Taquan Mizzell decently carrying the ball 14 times for a team-leading 75 yards, supported by his fellow runners.

In the receiving game, WR Canaan Severin led the Cavaliers with 4 catches for 55 yards plus one TD, while Evan Butts added 4 catches for 48 yards. To have a chance of matching the Miami offense that can—on a good day—go on a scoring rampage, John and his offensive counterparts must step their game in a big way.

As earlier mentioned, the Cavaliers defense came up big against Georgia Tech’s free-flowing offense, making a number of important stops to give the Cavs the win. Not only did the defense manage to limit Georgia Tech to less than 200 yards rushing, but Virginia also scored 10 points off Georgia Tech’s turnovers. If Virginia can maintain the momentum from that solid defensive showing, arguably their best of the season, then they could be up for a big game, not just against Miami down the stretch against Louisville, Duke and Virginia Tech.

The Virginia @ Miami Key Betting Trends

• The Hurricanes are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games at home
• The Cavaliers are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games
• The Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last five overall games against Virginia
• The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games against Miami
• The total has gone OVER in four of Virginia’s last six games when playing Miami
• The total has gone OVER in four of Miami’s last six games when playing Virginia

My Betting Prediction & Pick

The Cavaliers have shown they can compete against some strong teams, hanging with the likes of Notre Dame and Pittsburgh. The problem, however, is that Miami is coming off a morale-boosting win over the ranked Blue Devils, continuing their solid run pretty much throughout this year. All that considered, we feel Virginia’s defense will show up with a couple of important stops just like the Hurricanes, thus keeping the total UNDER. But as for the win, we love the Hurricanes taking care of business in front of their energized home crowd.