Michigan State vs Nebraska NCAA Football Week 12 Odds & Pick.

Michigan State vs Nebraska NCAA Football Week 12 Odds & Pick

Written by on November 15, 2018

Much like in the NFL, college football has some divisions that are more competitive than others. For example, no-one can touch Clemson in the Atlantic Division in the ACC, while the Coastal Division very often turns into a real scrap, just as it has this season. The same rules very much apply in the Big Ten Conference, where the East Division is totally stacked, while the West Division very often turns into a free-for-all. The West has already been decided this season, with Northwestern moving on to the Conference Championship Game, while the East will likely go all the way down to the wire.

The Michigan State Spartans are no longer part of the conversation in the East, while Nebraska was out of the running very early after a woeful start to the season. The Spartans, though, have already booked a bowl game ticket, but will still want to ensure that they end this year with a winning record. They will head on the road to Nebraska as a 1-point favorite to face a Cornhuskers team that has gotten better over the past month or so. 

Michigan State vs Nebraska NCAA Football Week 12 Odds & Pick

 

West Virginia at Oklahoma State NCAA Football Week 12 Odds & Pick

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 22°C/71°F
  • Humidity: 73%
  • Precipitation: 22%
  • Cloud Cover: 14%
  • Wind: 5 mph WSW
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why bet on the Michigan State Spartans?

The Spartans are coming into this one on a 3-3 run in their last 6 games, and while that may not seem like a particularly solid record, it is worth noting the teams that they lost to. The first of the 3 defeats came at the hands of Northwestern, who have punched their ticket into the Big Ten Conference Championship Game, while the other 2 losses came against Michigan and Ohio State, so certainly no cause for shame in any of those defeats.

If there is cause for concern for bettors in those losses, it’s that the Spartans only managed to cover the spread once in those 3 games. Overall, the Spartans are just 4-6 ATS this season, but perhaps more alarmingly, they are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Cornhuskers. That includes being 1-4 SU and ATS in their last 5 visits to Lincoln. 

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 21.70
  • Total Yards: 351.70
  • Rush Yards: 118.40
  • Passing Yards: 233.30
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 19.70
  • Total Yards: 327.30
  • Rush Yards: 76.50
  • Passing Yards: 250.80

Why bet on the Nebraska Cornhuskers?

It took until the 7th game of the season for Nebraska to come up with their first win, but they have been rolling ever since. They are 3-1 SU in their last 4 games and came very close to beating the Ohio State Buckeyes during that stretch, going down 36-31 as a 17 ½ point underdog.

Michigan State vs Nebraska is one of the best NCAA Football Week 12 games.

The signs of improvement are everywhere to be seen for this team, as they have now covered the spread in each of their last 5 games. Nebraska has won 6 of their last 8 meetings with Michigan State, but there is still some cause for concern heading into this one, as the Cornhuskers have won just 3 of their last 10 games on home field.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 32.30
  • Total Yards: 482.60
  • Rush Yards: 226.50
  • Passing Yards: 256.10
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 33.80
  • Total Yards: 449.40
  • Rush Yards: 194.00
  • Passing Yards: 255.40

Michigan State vs Nebraska NCAA Football Week 12 Betting Trends

  • Nebraska is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons
  • Nebraska is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons
  • Michigan State is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992
  • Nebraska is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons
  • Nebraska is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons
  • Michigan State is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State’s last 5 games

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Michigan State vs Nebraska

This is one of those games that really could go either way and while Nebraska has had a solid edge over Michigan State I recent years, I think they are going to come up a little short here. I am on the Spartans to win this one by a field goal.

Score: Michigan State Spartans 27 – Nebraska Cornhuskers 24