Michigan State vs Indiana 2018 NCAA Football Week 4 Odds

Michigan State vs Indiana 2018 NCAA Football Week 4

Written by on September 17, 2018

Indiana hosts Michigan State in a top Big Ten rivalry game on Saturday, Sep. 22. Michigan State hopes to solidify its position as a challenger to Penn State, Wisconsin, and Ohio State for the Big Ten Championship while Indiana hopes to put themselves on the radar. Will the Spartans beat and cover against the Hoosiers on Saturday?

Michigan State vs Indiana 2018 NCAA Football Week 4 Odds

When: Saturday, Sep. 22 Where: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN TV: BTN Radio: Michigan State / Indiana Live Stream: BTN2Go ATS Odds: Michigan State -4.5 (-110) Over/Under Total Odds: TBA

Weather Forecast

  • Chance of Thunderstorm: 24°C/75°F
  • Humidity: 78%
  • Precipitation: 51%
  • Wind: 5 mph ENE
  • Cloud Cover: 53%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Michigan State is a good bet?

The Spartans looked just okay in a 38-31 win over Utah State on August 31. The MSU defense held Utah State to 25 rushing yards on 25 carries. Michigan State’s secondary couldn’t stop Utah State from 319 passing yards, though. The Spartans’ offense looked horrible in their next game, a 13-16 straight up loss to ASU as a -6 road favorite. Michigan State averaged 2.3 rushing yards per carry on their way to 377 total yards. But, Michigan State might bounce back on Sep. 22 against Indiana. The Spartans took the week off after the loss to ASU. If coach Mark Dantonio has made the necessary adjustments, MSU could bounce back with a huge win and cover.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 25.50
  • Total Yards: 414.50
  • Pass Yards: 300.50
  • Rush Yards: 114
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 23.50
  • Total Yards: 384
  • Pass Yards: 349.50
  • Rush Yards: 34.50

Why Indiana is a good bet?

Are the Hoosiers a safe bet in NCAA Football Week 4? Indiana hasn’t faced a team as talented as ASU the way that Michigan State has, but the Hoosiers have looked good so far this season. Indiana’s best win was a dynamite 20-16 victory over Virginia, a team that’s improved this season from last season. The reason to point to the win over Virginia as a key victory is because Indiana held the Cavaliers to only 16 points. The Hoosiers’ defense appears way better this season than it was last season. If Indiana can keep Michigan State’s offense from moving the ball at will, they’ll have a shot at the straight up win.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 32
  • Total Yards: 436.33
  • Pass Yards: 201.33
  • Rush Yards: 235
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 18
  • Total Yards: 322.66
  • Pass Yards: 135.33
  • Rush Yards: 187.33

Latest NCAA Football Betting Trends

  • Michigan State is 2-4 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Michigan State is 4-1 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 6 games on the road
  • Indiana is 3-8-1 ATS in the last 12 games
  • Indiana is 5-1 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Indiana’s last 6 games

Michigan State vs Indiana Final Analysis:

Once again, Michigan State gets the benefit of the doubt. Why not? In last season’s game, MSU beat Indiana 17-9. But, maybe, Michigan State just isn’t a great football team this season. Even though the Spartans return almost every player on defense, the secondary has trouble stopping the pass. Indiana prefers to rush the ball before passing the ball, though. That’s the issue with backing the Hoosiers in this game. The matchup favors Michigan State because Indiana doesn’t have a passing attack that can exploit MSU’s issues in the secondary. I’ll back the Spartans against the spread. NCAA Football Week 4 Pick: Michigan State  
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