College football is unlike most other major sports in that a single loss can basically mean the end of a team’s playoff aspirations. This is especially true when that loss comes against a team in the same conference, as that makes getting to the conference championship game, which is often the easiest path to the playoffs, that much more difficult. We are at the stage of the season where conference play is really starting to come front and center, which means that the game son the schedule just gets bigger and more important from this point forward. We have a huge Big Ten matchup set to go this weekend, Michigan vs Wisconsin.
Both teams are sitting just outside the top 10, so it goes without saying that whoever wins this one will be moving up the rankings and in among the elite. This game will also have a huge impact on how an already tight conference plays out the rest of the way. The Badgers are favored by 3 ½ at home, with the point total set at 43.
Michigan vs Wisconsin 2019 College Football Week 4 Betting Lines & Prediction
- When: Saturday, September 21, 12 PM EST
- Where: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison
- TV: FOX
- Radio: SiriusXM
- Live Stream: Fox Sports Go
- College Football Week 4: Wisconsin -3.5 (Total 43)
- Scattered Thunderstorms: 22°C/73°F
- Humidity: 83%
- Precipitation: 40%
- Cloud Cover: 75%
- Wind: 16 mph S
- Stadium Type: Open
Why bet on the Michigan Wolverines?
While you certainly cannot argue that Jim Harbaugh has helped put the Wolverines back on the map after years out in the cold, it’s also fair to suggest that Michigan fans are getting a little restless. This is a program that expects to be challenging for a National Championship every single year, but an inability to get past Ohio State in the Harbaugh era has made that impossible.
The Wolverines come into this won having won their opening 2 games, but they have lost ground in the rankings given the less than convincing nature of those victories. Overall, they are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games and have won 10 of their last 15 against Wisconsin. That said, they are now on a run of 6 straight games where they have failed to cover the spread.
Team Stats (Last 10 Games)
- Score: 23.00
- Rush Yards: 143.60
- Pass Attempts: 29.90
- Completion Percentage: 54.85
- Passing Yards: 196.10
- Total Yards: 339.7
- Turnovers: 2.10
Why bet on the Wisconsin Badgers?
The Wisconsin Badgers come into this game with the same 2-0 record as Michigan, but how they got to that point is a good deal different than the Wolverines journey. Wisconsin has yet to surrender a single point this season, but that’s not the biggest talking point, as they have also racked up a combined 110 points on those two games.
It’s not quite the time to start getting too carried away, though, as they have yet to face any team as talented as the Wolverines. The one thing that stands out with this team is how good they are at home, winning 16 of their last 18 in their own building. They are also a very respectable 14-1 SU in their last 15 September games and have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 overall.
Team Stats (Last 10 Games)
- Score: 24.90
- Rush Yards: 175.90
- Pass Attempts: 26.30
- Completion Percentage: 50.57
- Passing Yards: 168.60
- Total Yards: 344.5
- Turnovers: 1.80
Michigan vs Wisconsin 2019 College Football Week 4 Betting Trends
- Wolverines are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played in September
- Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan’s last 6 games
- Badgers are 16-2 SU in their last 18 games at home
- Badgers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisconsin’s last 6 games played on a Saturday
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
There has not been a lot to like with the Wolverines so far this season, but you still get the sense that they are going to have a breakout game. I think going into this one as the underdog might just snap them out of their early malaise.
Score: Michigan Wolverines 28 – Wisconsin Badgers 27