After reaching the national rankings just a few weeks back, the Kentucky Wildcats have dropped two straight heading into Week 12. On the flip side of the coin, the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders are playing their best football of the season at just the right time. If you’re wondering whether or not the Wildcats can snap their losing streak to cover the chalk, let’s get to my expert college football pick right now.
Middle Tennessee vs Kentucky NCAA Football Week 12 Odds & Pick
- When: Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 12:00 PM ET
- Where: Kroger Field
- TV: SEC Network
- Radio: TuneIn
- Live Stream: WatchESPN
- NCAA Football Week 12 Odds: Kentucky -16 / Total: 46.5
- Partly Cloudy: 7°C/44°F
- Humidity: 79%
- Precipitation: 17%
- Wind: 5 mph S
- Cloud Cover: 54%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why Bet On Middle Tennessee State?
Why should you consider betting on the Blue Raiders? There are a bunch of good reasons. First, Middle Tennessee is playing their best football at just the right time. The Blue Raiders come into this contest riding the wave of a four-game winning streak that includes their convincing 48-32 win over UTEP while covering the spread as a 13.5-point road favorite.
This season, quarterback Brent Stockstill has completed a stellar 68.6 percent of his passes while throwing for 2,287 yards with 21 touchdowns and five interceptions. Middle Tennessee is averaging 30.4 points per game this season (58th) while allowing 26.5 points per contest (65th).
- Average Score For: 30.40
- Total Yards: 380.80
- Pass Yards: 239.30
- Rush Yards: 141.50
- Average Score Against: 26.50
- Total Yards: 407
- Pass Yards: 241.90
- Rush Yards: 165.10
Why Bet On Kentucky?
Why should you consider betting on Kentucky in Week 12? There are several good reasons, starting with the fact that the Wildcats have to be utterly desperate right about now. While I don’t think Kentucky’s loss to Georgia two weeks ago shocked anyone, the Wildcats’ 24-7 loss to Tennessee was quite disturbing. This season, quarterback Terry Wilson has completed 66.7 percent of his passes while throwing for 1,386 yards with seven touchdowns and seven interceptions.
- Average Score For: 22.90
- Total Yards: 346.90
- Pass Yards: 159.60
- Rush Yards: 187.30
- Average Score Against: 16.20
- Total Yards: 321.80
- Pass Yards: 180.40
- Rush Yards: 141.40
Middle Tennessee vs Kentucky NCAA Football Week 12 Betting Trends
- Middle Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games
- Middle Tennessee is 6-1 SU in the last 7 games
- The total went OVER in 6 of Middle Tennessee’s last 9 games on the road
- Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games
- Kentucky is 7-3 SU in the last 10 games
- The total went UNDER in 6 of Kentucky’s last 7 games
Expert Analysis and Prediction for Middle Tennessee vs Kentucky
I know Middle Tennessee has gone an an uninspiring 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams from the SEC, but the Blue Raiders are also 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an SU win, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. Kentucky has gone 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games. I’m not sure Middle Tennessee can get the outright win, but I like the Blue Raiders to cover the chalk in a thriller.
NCAA Football Week 12 Pick: Middle Tennessee 27 Kentucky 24