Navy vs Army NCAAF Odds & Betting Prediction

Navy vs Army NCAAF Odds & Betting Prediction

Written by on December 7, 2018

The Army Black Knights and Navy Midshipmen will both look to close out their respective regular season campaigns with a victory when they square off in their huge, annual regular season-ending matchup at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia on Saturday.

Can Army reach the double-digit win mark by taking down Navy or will the Midshipmen get the huge upset to close out their 2018 campaign in style? Let’s get to my expert pick right now everyone.

Navy vs Army NCAAF Odds & Betting Prediction

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 2°C/35°F
  • Humidity: 44$
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 9 mph WNW
  • Cloud Cover: 56%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On Navy at +6.5?

Why should you consider betting on Navy? Well, the best reason is because they’ve been playing a lot better the last three weeks. First, the Midshipmen gave it their all against undefeated Central Florida three weeks ago and then they beat Tulsa two weeks ago. While Navy comes into this contest off a 29-28 loss to Tulane last weekend, again, Navy has been competitive the last three weeks if nothing else. The Midshipmen average 26.2 points per game offensively (89th). Defensively, Navy is allowing 34.9 points per contest (109th).

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 26.25
  • Total Yards: 360.67
  • Pass Yards: 72.17
  • Rush Yards: 288.50
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 34.92
  • Total Yards: 438.33
  • Pass Yards: 249.33
  • Rush Yards: 189

Why Bet On Army at -6.5?

Why should you consider betting on Army? Damn…there are a bunch of reasons. Let’s see…Army has the better offense (30.8 ppg) in this contest. The Black Knights also have the better defense and one of the best defenses in the nation in limiting their opponents to just 18.7 points per game to rank 17th in points allowed nationally. Then there is the fact that Army has the second-best rushing attack in the country. The Black Knights average a stunning 303.0 rushing yards per contest. Oh, did I mention the fact that Army has all kinds of momentum going right now as they ride the wave of a seven-game winning streak into this contest?

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 30.82
  • Total Yards: 384.36
  • Pass Yards: 81.36
  • Rush Yards: 303
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 18.73
  • Total Yards: 301.27
  • Pass Yards: 194.82
  • Rush Yards: 106.45

Army vs Navy NCAAF Betting Trends

  • Navy is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Navy is 1-8 SU in the last 9 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Navy’s last 6 games
  • Army is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games when playing Navy
  • Army is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 5 of Army’s last 7 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Army vs Navy

I’ll get started by saying that I am completely stunned that Army isn’t a bigger favorite in this contest than they are. First of all, the Midshipmen have lost all seven non-home games this season. Navy is also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games, 1-4 ATS and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Conversely, the Black Knights are a perfect 4-0 in their last four games following a bye week, a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

Navy has been awful this season while Army has soared and comes into this contest playing their best football of the season. If Army doesn’t win this one by double digits, I’ll be stunned.

NCAAF Betting Pick: Army 35 Navy 24

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