Navy vs Notre Dame 2019 College Football Week 12 Lines & Expert Analysis

Navy vs Notre Dame 2019 College Football Week 12 Lines & Expert Analysis

Written by on November 14, 2019

In what’s become one of the more interesting rivalry games of the season, Navy takes on Notre Dame this Saturday. Notre Dame bounced back from 3 straight cover losses with a dominant win over Duke in Week 11. Will the Fighting Irish turn their victory SU and ATS into a streak? See below for NCAAF odds, analysis, and a free pick for Navy vs Notre Dame!

Navy vs Notre Dame 2019 College Football Week 12 Lines & Expert Analysis

  • When: Saturday, Nov. 16 at 2:30 pm ET
  • Where: Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN
  • TV: NBC
  • ATS Odds: Notre Dame -7

Why the Navy Midshipmen are a good bet +7?

This season, Navy has surprised many by going 7-1 straight up. Along with Cincinnati, SMU, and Memphis, the Middies have dominated their American Athletic Conference opponents. Navy can both score and keep opposing teams from scoring. Notre Dame won’t intimidate the Midshipmen. They should make life extremely difficult for the Fighting Irish.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 457.1
  • Passing Yards: 98.9
  • Rushing Yards: 358.2
  • Points Scored: 40.1
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 310.9
  • Passing Yards: 201.2
  • Rushing Yards: 109.6
  • Points Allowed: 18.1

Why the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are a good bet -7?

Notre Dame had lost 3 in a row against the spread. The Fighting Irish not only lost straight-up ATS and SU versus Michigan, but they also struggled against the spread versus USC in the game before and versus Virginia Tech in the game after. The Irish did bounce back with a huge win over Duke, though. In addition to beating Duke straight up, they covered the spread in a 38-7 victory. Notre Dame is back on track. They should beat Navy and cover on Nov. 16.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 424.4
  • Passing Yards: 247.4
  • Rushing Yards: 177
  • Points Scored: 34.2
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 329.1
  • Passing Yards: 171.8
  • Rushing Yards: 157.3
  • Points Allowed: 19.2

College Football Week 12 Betting Trends for Navy vs Notre Dame

  • Midshipmen are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall
  • Navy is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Navy’s last 6 games
  • Fighting Irish are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games versus a team with a winning road record
  • Notre Dame is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame’s last 5 games

Navy vs Notre Dame Final Betting Analysis

Although most believe Notre Dame is the better team, nothing on paper implies that. Visually, the Navy has looked like the better squad. Because of that, the betting line has fallen a full 2 ½ points from Navy +7 to Navy +9 ½.

The Midshipmen are 4-1 ATS in their last 5. They’ve gone 6-2 ATS. The Middies allow 18.1 points per game. Moreover, they are the top rushing team in the nation with 358.2 yards per. Notre Dame allows 157.3 rushing yards per game. That will work against the Fighting Irish in this match up. Take the points.

College Football Week 12 Free Pick: Navy +7

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