North Carolina vs NC State NCAA Football Odds Guide

Posted by Daniel Strum on Friday,November 27, 2015 12:42, EDT in

The North Carolina State Wolfpack will look to pull off the huge college football odds upset at home when they host the streaking 11th-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels in a huge Week 13 ACC conference clash that is offering a ton of value. A berth in the ACC title game is on the line for the Tar Heels, now let’s find out if they can bring home the bacon.

How To Bet the Tar Heels @ Wolfpack NCAA Football Odds, TV & Game Info

When: Saturday, November 28, 3:30 PM ET
Where: Carter Finley Stadium, Raleigh, North Carolina
TV: ABC
Stream Option: ABCSports
NCAAF Odds: North Carolina -5.5
Over/Under: 65.5

Why Bet on North Carolina State (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS)

The Wolfpack got an emphatic 42-29 win over Syracuse last weekend but failed to cover the spread as whopping 19.5-point home favorites. Senior signal-caller Jacoby Brissett threw three touchdown passes in the win and three running backs struck pay dirt for the Wolfpack in the commanding win. NC State rushed for a whopping 276 yards in the win while Brissett completed 21 of 33 passes for 235 yards. NC State won the time of possession battle by over 11 minutes and gave up just 152 passing yards while limiting the Orange to just 2-for-11 success on third downs. Now the Wolfpack would love to get the season-ruining upset against their longtime in-state rivals.

“I don’t really have to get fired up for this one,” head coach Dave Doeren said. “The guys, from the minute the (Syracuse) game ended, they’re ready. The mental part of wanting to play well is not going to be a problem. Like I told them, this is not going to be, `Do you want to win the game?’ It’s not going to be, `Do you not like your opponent?’

Why Bet on North Carolina (10-1 SU, 7-4 ATS)

No. 11 North Carolina has won 10 straight games, though they had a tough time in beating Virginia Tech 30-27 in overtime last week while narrowly failing to cover the spread as a 3.5-point road favorite. “We’re not done. I won’t sit back and look back until it’s all over with,” Heels’ head coach Larry Fedora said. “I told them earlier in the week, `We’ve come too far to only come this far.’ We still have our blinders on and our heads down and continue to be focused on the job at hand. They know what we have to do.”

Senior quarterback Marquise Williams completed 13 of 26 passes for 205 yards and one touchdown while running back Elijah Hood rushed for 115 yards and two scores on 17 carries. Now, Williams and the Tar Heels are avoiding all of the hype surrounding the annual clash while staying focused on getting the win after dealing with a ton of trash-talk in last year’s 35-7 beatdown at the hands of the Wolfpack.

“Last year’s team was last year,” Williams said. “Marquise Williams 2014 was last year. We’re a different team. That’s the thing — that’s what rivals do. You go back and forth with each other.”

My Expert Game Analysis, Prediction & Pick:

A heavy, 72 percent of public bettors likes North Carolina and I say for good reason. It’s because the North Carolina Tar Heels are going to roll into NC State’s Carter Finley Stadium and lay a spanking on the Wolfpack that they won’t soon forget! Not only have the Heels managed to win an impressive 10 straight games coming into this contest, but they’ve also posted a perfect 5-0 ATS mark in their last five games against a team with a winning record and near-perfect 5-1 ATS mark in their last six road games against a team with a winning home record.

NC State has gone 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record and that’s all fine and well. However, what you need to know is that the Wolfpack are also a consistent 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven conference games.

The Tar Heels win…convincingly.

My Pick: North Carolina 31 NC State 21